LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over MNKD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

MNKD

MannKind Corporation

51
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

MNKD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MNKD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Weak

MNKD's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MNKD PE Valuation

MNKD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 178x next year's earnings.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

MNKD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MNKD to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MNKD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MNKD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+73%$7.20
Downside-42%$2.42

Calculated from the latest close: $4.16 on Nov 12.

MNKD trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over MNKD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MNKD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.04Q1 2024: $0.04Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.10Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.10Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $-0.07Q2 2026: $-0.13Q3 2026: $-0.23Forward: $0.02
Q4 2023: $-0.04Q1 2024: $0.04Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.10Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.10Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $-0.07Q2 2026: $-0.13Q3 2026: $-0.23Forward: $0.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.02—
Q3 2026-$0.23-330%
Q2 2026-$0.13-218%
Q1 2026-$0.07-170%
Q4 2025$0.02-80%
Q3 2025$0.10+25%
Q2 2025$0.11+120%
Q1 2025$0.10+150%
Q4 2024$0.10+$0.14

MNKD has swung to a loss: it lost $0.23 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over MNKD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MNKD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $66MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: $78MQ2 2025: $77MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $112MQ1 2026: $90MQ2 2026: $109MQ3 2026: $102M
Q4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $66MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: $78MQ2 2025: $77MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $112MQ1 2026: $90MQ2 2026: $109MQ3 2026: $102M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$101.9M+24%
Q2 2026$109.4M+43%
Q1 2026$90.2M+15%
Q4 2025$112M+46%
Q3 2025$82.1M+17%
Q2 2025$76.5M+5.7%
Q1 2025$78.4M+18%
Q4 2024$76.8M+31%

MNKD's revenue has grown year over year for 17 quarters in a row: $102M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over MNKD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MNKD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $861,000Q3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$23MQ3 2026: −$38M
Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $861,000Q3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$23MQ3 2026: −$38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$37.8M-268%
Q2 2026-$23.5M-399%
Q1 2026-$7.2M-$538K
Q4 2025-$10M-150%
Q3 2025$22.5M+184%
Q2 2025$7.8M+810%
Q1 2025-$6.7M-256%
Q4 2024$19.7M+25%

MNKD has burned cash in most quarters: −$78M over the past year, against $43M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over MNKD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MNKD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 267MQ1 2024: 325MQ2 2024: 273MQ3 2024: 285MQ4 2024: 284MQ1 2025: 321MQ2 2025: 311MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 314MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 309MQ3 2026: 320M
Q4 2023: 267MQ1 2024: 325MQ2 2024: 273MQ3 2024: 285MQ4 2024: 284MQ1 2025: 321MQ2 2025: 311MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 314MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 309MQ3 2026: 320M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+11M shares
1 year+2.7%+8.5M shares
3 years-1.1%-3.6M shares
5 years+28%+70.3M shares
Available history+55%+113M shares

MNKD has 320M diluted shares, up 2.7% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over MNKD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MNKD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 5.5xQ1 2026: 8.5xQ2 2026: 8.9xQ3 2026: 19.7x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 5.5xQ1 2026: 8.5xQ2 2026: 8.9xQ3 2026: 19.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202619.7xHigh
Q2 20268.9xHigh
Q1 20268.5xHigh
Q4 20255.5xHigh
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

MNKD's net debt is about 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

MNKD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.4Neutral
Stochastic63.7Neutral

MNKD's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

MNKD PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMNKDSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

MNKD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over MNKD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MNKD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.5318% above
20 week MA$3.828.9% above
50 week MA$4.004% above
100 week MA$4.487.1% below
200 week MA$4.6210% below

MNKD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 10% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over MNKD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MNKD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.37$3.42+150%
2021$3.42$4.46+30%
2022$4.46$5.09+14%
2023$5.09$3.64-28%
2024$3.64$6.82+87%
2025$6.82$5.79-15%
2026 YTD$5.79$4.16-28%

MNKD has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 28% so far in 2026.

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