LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over MIRM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MIRM

Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

49
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

MIRM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MIRM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Weak

MIRM's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MIRM PE Valuation

MIRM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over MIRM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

MIRM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MIRM's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MIRM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MIRM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$127.48
Downside-26%$69.12

Calculated from the latest close: $93.33 on Nov 12.

MIRM trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over MIRM on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MIRM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.00Q1 2024: $-3.74Q2 2024: $-2.32Q3 2024: $-2.05Q4 2024: $-1.85Q1 2025: $-1.61Q2 2025: $-1.21Q3 2025: $-0.86Q4 2025: $-0.47Q1 2026: $-13.60Q2 2026: $-14.54Q3 2026: $-15.46
Q4 2023: $-4.00Q1 2024: $-3.74Q2 2024: $-2.32Q3 2024: $-2.05Q4 2024: $-1.85Q1 2025: $-1.61Q2 2025: $-1.21Q3 2025: $-0.86Q4 2025: $-0.47Q1 2026: $-13.60Q2 2026: $-14.54Q3 2026: $-15.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$15.46-$14.60
Q2 2026-$14.54-$13.33
Q1 2026-$13.60-$11.99
Q4 2025-$0.47+$1.38
Q3 2025-$0.86+$1.19
Q2 2025-$1.21+$1.11
Q1 2025-$1.61+$2.13
Q4 2024-$1.85+$2.15

MIRM lost $15.46 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $24.4B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

MIRM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $90MQ4 2024: $99MQ1 2025: $112MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: $133MQ4 2025: $149MQ1 2026: $160MQ2 2026: $176MQ3 2026: $186M
Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $90MQ4 2024: $99MQ1 2025: $112MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: $133MQ4 2025: $149MQ1 2026: $160MQ2 2026: $176MQ3 2026: $186M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$185.7M+40%
Q2 2026$176.2M+38%
Q1 2026$159.9M+43%
Q4 2025$148.9M+50%
Q3 2025$133M+47%
Q2 2025$127.8M+64%
Q1 2025$111.6M+61%
Q4 2024$99.4M+43%

MIRM has the edge over LLY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over MIRM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MIRM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: −$229MQ2 2026: −$44MQ3 2026: −$6M
Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: −$229MQ2 2026: −$44MQ3 2026: −$6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5.6M-114%
Q2 2026-$44.3M-472%
Q1 2026-$229.4M-$227.4M
Q4 2025$5.5M+$10.6M
Q3 2025$39.5M+938%
Q2 2025$11.9M+$16.5M
Q1 2025-$2M-113%
Q4 2024-$5.1M+$11.5M

MIRM has burned cash in most quarters: −$274M over the past year, against $44M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over MIRM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MIRM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.2%+2.7M shares
1 year+16%+9.1M shares
3 years+61%+25M shares
5 years+117%+35.7M shares
Available history+167%+41.3M shares

MIRM has 66M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MIRM Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 6.2x
Q4 2025: 6.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20256.2xHigh

MIRM's net debt is about 6.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

MIRM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.3Neutral
Stochastic43.7Neutral

MIRM's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

MIRM PE vs Healthcare Sector

MIRM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over MIRM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MIRM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$86.48% above
20 week MA$98.14.9% below
50 week MA$95.42.2% below
100 week MA$75.224% above
200 week MA$52.877% above

MIRM's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 77% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over MIRM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MIRM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.9$18.3-30%
2021$18.3$15.6-15%
2022$15.6$18.2+17%
2023$18.2$29.5+62%
2024$29.5$41.6+41%
2025$41.6$79.3+91%
2026 YTD$79.3$93.3+18%

MIRM has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 18% so far in 2026.

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