LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

MGX

Metagenomi, Inc. Common Stock

There isn't enough reported data to score MGX yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MGX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

MGX's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MGX PE Valuation

MGX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

MGX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MGX's losses to shrink, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and MGX's risk to reward.

MGX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $0.71 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and MGX's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over MGX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MGX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.93Q1 2024: $-2.58Q2 2024: $-2.52Q3 2024: $-2.50Q4 2024: $-2.36Q1 2025: $-1.85Q2 2025: $-2.10Q3 2025: $-2.14Q4 2025: $-2.36Q1 2026: $-2.29Q2 2026: $-2.48Q3 2026: $-2.49
Q4 2023: $-1.93Q1 2024: $-2.58Q2 2024: $-2.52Q3 2024: $-2.50Q4 2024: $-2.36Q1 2025: $-1.85Q2 2025: $-2.10Q3 2025: $-2.14Q4 2025: $-2.36Q1 2026: $-2.29Q2 2026: $-2.48Q3 2026: $-2.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.49-$0.35
Q2 2026-$2.48-$0.38
Q1 2026-$2.29-$0.44
Q4 2025-$2.36$0.00
Q3 2025-$2.14+$0.36
Q2 2025-$2.10+$0.42
Q1 2025-$1.85+$0.73
Q4 2024-$2.36-$0.43

MGX is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $2.49 per share over the past year, against $3.81 at its worst in late 2022.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 39% for LLY versus down 74% for MGX.

MGX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: --Q3 2026: $2M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2M-75%
Q1 2026$1.2M-70%
Q4 2025$3.9M-59%
Q3 2025$8.7M-25%
Q2 2025$8.5M-57%
Q1 2025$4.1M-63%
Q4 2024$9.6M-22%
Q3 2024$11.5M-6.9%

MGX's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $2M last quarter, down 74% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over MGX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MGX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: −$31MQ2 2024: −$27MQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: −$21MQ3 2025: −$21MQ4 2025: −$24MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$20MQ3 2026: −$19M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: −$31MQ2 2024: −$27MQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: −$21MQ3 2025: −$21MQ4 2025: −$24MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$20MQ3 2026: −$19M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$19.1M+$2.3M
Q2 2026-$19.6M+$1.7M
Q1 2026-$21.2M+$1.9M
Q4 2025-$23.6M+$3M
Q3 2025-$21.3M+$6.5M
Q2 2025-$21.4M+$5.6M
Q1 2025-$23.1M+$7.6M
Q4 2024-$26.6M-$4.3M

MGX has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$84M over the past year, against −$92M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over MGX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MGX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 38M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 38M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+117K shares
1 year+1.1%+426K shares
3 years+0.8%+303K shares

MGX has 38M diluted shares, up 1.1% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MGX Net Leverage

MGX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

MGX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI21.9Oversold
Stochastic13.3Oversold

MGX's weekly RSI is 22 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

MGX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MGX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has stronger trend alignment. LLY is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus MGX above 0 of 4.

MGX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.8718% below
20 week MA$1.0734% below
50 week MA$1.3246% below
100 week MA$1.7359% below

MGX is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 59% below its 100-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over MGX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MGX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$10.3$3.74-64%
2025$3.74$1.70-55%
2026 YTD$1.70$0.71-58%

MGX has finished every year since 2024 lower, and it's down 58% so far in 2026.

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