LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

MGTX

MeiraGTx Holdings plc

There isn't enough reported data to score MGTX yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MGTX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Under pressure
Strong

MGTX's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MGTX PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Current11x$8.79โ€”
Cheap13x$10.39+18%
Fair15x$12.22+39%
Expensive19x$15.50+76%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MGTX has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

MGTX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MGTX's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and MGTX's risk to reward.

MGTX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $8.79 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and MGTX's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over MGTX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MGTX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.49Q1 2024: $-1.19Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $-1.23Q4 2024: $-2.12Q1 2025: $-2.31Q2 2025: $-2.03Q3 2025: $-2.10Q4 2025: $-1.42Q1 2026: $-1.48Q2 2026: $0.71Q3 2026: $0.80
Q4 2023: $-1.49Q1 2024: $-1.19Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $-1.23Q4 2024: $-2.12Q1 2025: $-2.31Q2 2025: $-2.03Q3 2025: $-2.10Q4 2025: $-1.42Q1 2026: $-1.48Q2 2026: $0.71Q3 2026: $0.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.80+$2.90
Q2 2026$0.71+$2.74
Q1 2026-$1.48+$0.83
Q4 2025-$1.42+$0.70
Q3 2025-$2.10-$0.87
Q2 2025-$2.03-$0.61
Q1 2025-$2.31-$1.12
Q4 2024-$2.12-$0.63

MGTX has returned to profit: it earned $0.80 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over MGTX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MGTX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $697,000Q2 2024: $282,000Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $410,000Q4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $293,000Q2 2026: $321MQ3 2026: $5M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $697,000Q2 2024: $282,000Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $410,000Q4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $293,000Q2 2026: $321MQ3 2026: $5M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.8M+1074%
Q2 2026$321.4M+8609%
Q4 2025$75.4M+252%
Q3 2025$410K-96%
Q2 2025$3.7M+1209%
Q3 2024$10.9M+114%
Q2 2024$282K-92%
Q1 2024$697K-79%

MGTX's revenue is growing: $5M last quarter, up 1074% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over MGTX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MGTX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$18MQ1 2024: โˆ’$38MQ2 2024: โˆ’$21MQ3 2024: โˆ’$26MQ4 2024: โˆ’$24MQ1 2025: โˆ’$39MQ2 2025: โˆ’$45MQ3 2025: โˆ’$13MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: โˆ’$39MQ3 2026: โˆ’$26M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$18MQ1 2024: โˆ’$38MQ2 2024: โˆ’$21MQ3 2024: โˆ’$26MQ4 2024: โˆ’$24MQ1 2025: โˆ’$39MQ2 2025: โˆ’$45MQ3 2025: โˆ’$13MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: โˆ’$39MQ3 2026: โˆ’$26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$26.3M-$13.5M
Q2 2026-$38.9M+$6.3M
Q1 2026$15.8M+$54.3M
Q4 2025$46.4M+$70.9M
Q3 2025-$12.8M+$12.9M
Q2 2025-$45.2M-$24.4M
Q1 2025-$38.5M-$119K
Q4 2024-$24.5M-$6.9M

MGTX has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$3M over the past year, against โˆ’$121M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over MGTX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MGTX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 70MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 81MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 81MQ2 2026: 94MQ3 2026: 97M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 70MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 81MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 81MQ2 2026: 94MQ3 2026: 97M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+3.1M shares
1 year+20%+15.9M shares
3 years+63%+37.4M shares
5 years+119%+52.7M shares
Available history+192%+63.7M shares

MGTX has 97M diluted shares, up 20% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MGTX Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash

MGTX has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

MGTX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.5Neutral
Stochastic6.8Oversold

MGTX's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

MGTX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMGTXSector medianRelative
PE11x26x57% below

MGTX has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over MGTX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MGTX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.7710% below
20 week MA$11.826% below
50 week MA$9.9011% below
100 week MA$8.493.5% above
200 week MA$7.1124% above

MGTX has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 24% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over MGTX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MGTX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.1$16.4-18%
2021$16.4$22.4+36%
2022$22.4$6.01-73%
2023$6.01$7.02+17%
2024$7.02$6.21-12%
2025$6.21$7.97+28%
2026 YTD$7.97$8.79+10%

MGTX has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 10% so far in 2026.

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