LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over MGNX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

MGNX

MacroGenics, Inc.

39
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

MGNX trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MGNX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

MGNX's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MGNX PE Valuation

MGNX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

MGNX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MGNX's losses to grow, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MGNX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MGNX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$3.95
Downside-42%$1.32

Calculated from the latest close: $2.29 on Nov 12.

MGNX trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over MGNX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MGNX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.15Q1 2024: $-0.38Q2 2024: $-2.19Q3 2024: $-1.57Q4 2024: $-1.07Q1 2025: $-0.88Q2 2025: $-0.56Q3 2025: $-1.19Q4 2025: $-1.18Q1 2026: $-1.11Q2 2026: $-0.23Q3 2026: $-0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.15Q1 2024: $-0.38Q2 2024: $-2.19Q3 2024: $-1.57Q4 2024: $-1.07Q1 2025: $-0.88Q2 2025: $-0.56Q3 2025: $-1.19Q4 2025: $-1.18Q1 2026: $-1.11Q2 2026: $-0.23Q3 2026: $-0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.82+$0.37
Q2 2026-$0.23+$0.33
Q1 2026-$1.11-$0.23
Q4 2025-$1.18-$0.11
Q3 2025-$1.19+$0.38
Q2 2025-$0.56+$1.63
Q1 2025-$0.88-$0.50
Q4 2024-$1.07-$0.92

MGNX is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.82 per share over the past year, against $3.56 at its worst in mid-2022.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $24.4B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

MGNX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $111MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $19M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $111MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $19M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7M-74%
Q2 2026$32.8M+48%
Q1 2026$20.8M+57%
Q4 2025$41.2M+113%
Q3 2025$72.8M-34%
Q2 2025$22.2M+106%
Q1 2025$13.2M+45%
Q4 2024$19.4M+81%

MGNX's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $19M last quarter, down 74% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over MGNX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MGNX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$47MQ2 2024: −$46MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: −$39MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$48MQ3 2025: −$31MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: −$36MQ2 2026: −$42MQ3 2026: −$6M
Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$47MQ2 2024: −$46MQ3 2024: $60MQ4 2024: −$39MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$48MQ3 2025: −$31MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: −$36MQ2 2026: −$42MQ3 2026: −$6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.4M+$24.2M
Q2 2026-$41.6M+$6.1M
Q1 2026-$36.2M+$11.3M
Q4 2025$42.8M+$81.8M
Q3 2025-$30.6M-151%
Q2 2025-$47.7M-$2.2M
Q1 2025-$47.4M-$317K
Q4 2024-$39M-$10.4M

MGNX has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$41M over the past year, against −$165M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over MGNX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MGNX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 62MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 63MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 63MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 62MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 63MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 63MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+149K shares
1 year+0.7%+460K shares
3 years+2.4%+1.5M shares
5 years+4.2%+2.6M shares
Available history+33%+15.7M shares

MGNX has 64M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MGNX Net Leverage

MGNX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

MGNX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic16.0Oversold

MGNX's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

MGNX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMGNXSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

MGNX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over MGNX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MGNX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.9522% below
20 week MA$3.6838% below
50 week MA$3.1126% below
100 week MA$2.518.8% below
200 week MA$4.7852% below

MGNX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 52% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

MGNX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.8$24.3+126%
2021$24.3$17.4-28%
2022$17.4$5.94-66%
2023$5.94$9.62+62%
2024$9.62$3.23-66%
2025$3.23$1.61-50%
2026 YTD$1.61$2.29+42%

MGNX has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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