LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

MEDS

DataMEDS AI, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score MEDS yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MEDS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

MEDS's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MEDS PE Valuation

MEDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

MEDS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MEDS to show an outlook.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and MEDS's risk to reward.

MEDS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $0.87 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and MEDS's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over MEDS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MEDS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-15.70Q2 2024: $-15.84Q3 2024: $-16.77Q4 2024: $-8.34Q1 2025: $-37.52Q2 2025: $-42.47Q3 2025: $-63.67Q4 2025: $-71.50Q1 2026: $-44.00Q2 2026: $-45.63
Q1 2024: $-15.70Q2 2024: $-15.84Q3 2024: $-16.77Q4 2024: $-8.34Q1 2025: $-37.52Q2 2025: $-42.47Q3 2025: $-63.67Q4 2025: $-71.50Q1 2026: $-44.00Q2 2026: $-45.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$45.63-$3.16
Q1 2026-$44.00-$6.48
Q4 2025-$71.50-$63.16
Q3 2025-$63.67-$46.90
Q2 2025-$42.47-$26.63
Q1 2025-$37.52-$21.82

MEDS lost $45.63 per share over the past year, about the same as its loss the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over MEDS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MEDS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2M
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.8M-77%
Q1 2026$1.6M-86%
Q4 2025$1.7M-87%
Q3 2025$3M-47%
Q2 2025$7.8M-25%
Q1 2025$10.9M+37%
Q4 2024$12.4M-64%

MEDS's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $2M last quarter, down 77% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over MEDS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MEDS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $112,940Q4 2023: −$462,056Q1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: $77,770Q3 2024: $820,541Q4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$3M
Q3 2023: $112,940Q4 2023: −$462,056Q1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: $77,770Q3 2024: $820,541Q4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$2.9M-$815.2K
Q1 2026-$3.4M-$2.1M
Q4 2025-$6.3M-$3.5M
Q3 2025-$1.1M-238%
Q2 2025-$2.1M-2773%
Q1 2025-$1.3M+$8.8M
Q4 2024-$2.8M-$2.3M
Q3 2024$820.5K+627%

MEDS has burned cash in most quarters: −$14M over the past year, against −$5M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over MEDS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MEDS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1MQ4 2023: 935,843Q1 2024: 977,287Q2 2024: 1MQ3 2024: 1MQ4 2024: 1MQ1 2025: 1MQ2 2025: 1MQ3 2025: 1MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 3M
Q3 2023: 1MQ4 2023: 935,843Q1 2024: 977,287Q2 2024: 1MQ3 2024: 1MQ4 2024: 1MQ1 2025: 1MQ2 2025: 1MQ3 2025: 1MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 3M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+23%+482K shares
1 year+148%+1.5M shares

MEDS has 3M diluted shares, up 148% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MEDS Net Leverage

MEDS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

MEDS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic4.4Oversold

MEDS's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

MEDS PE vs Healthcare Sector

MEDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has stronger trend alignment. LLY is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus MEDS above 0 of 4.

MEDS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.3262% below
20 week MA$2.2461% below
50 week MA$7.7589% below
100 week MA$41.598% below

MEDS is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 98% below its 100-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over MEDS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MEDS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$12.8$7.59-41%
2025$7.59$20.2+167%
2026 YTD$20.2$0.87-96%

MEDS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +167% in 2025 to −41% in 2024. It's down 96% so far in 2026.

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