LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over MDXG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MDXG

MiMedx Group, Inc.

33
Fundamentals29/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

MDXG trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MDXG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Stable
Strong

MDXG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue and profitability are weak.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MDXG PE Valuation

MDXG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over MDXG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

MDXG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MDXG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MDXG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MDXG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$4.15
Downside-22%$2.54

Calculated from the latest close: $3.24 on Nov 12.

MDXG trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over MDXG on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MDXG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $0.49Q2 2024: $0.61Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.28Q1 2025: $0.27Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.27Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.04Q3 2026: $-0.13Forward: $0.07
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $0.49Q2 2024: $0.61Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.28Q1 2025: $0.27Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.27Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.04Q3 2026: $-0.13Forward: $0.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.07—
Q3 2026-$0.13-148%
Q2 2026$0.04-81%
Q1 2026$0.20-26%
Q4 2025$0.32+14%
Q3 2025$0.27-55%
Q2 2025$0.21-66%
Q1 2025$0.27-45%
Q4 2024$0.28-24%

MDXG has swung to a loss: it lost $0.13 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over MDXG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MDXG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $87MQ1 2024: $85MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $93MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $118MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $62M
Q4 2023: $87MQ1 2024: $85MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $93MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $118MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $62M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$62.3M-45%
Q2 2026$64.4M-35%
Q1 2026$59M-33%
Q4 2025$118.1M+27%
Q3 2025$113.7M+35%
Q2 2025$98.6M+13%
Q1 2025$88.2M+4.1%
Q4 2024$92.9M+7%

MDXG's revenue is shrinking: $62M last quarter, down 45% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over MDXG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MDXG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $29MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $29MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.9M-87%
Q2 2026-$10M-169%
Q1 2026$1.9M-65%
Q4 2025$25M+33%
Q3 2025$29.3M+49%
Q2 2025$14.4M-34%
Q1 2025$5.3M-11%
Q4 2024$18.8M+91%

MDXG generated $21M in free cash flow over the past year, down 69% from the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

MDXG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 146MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 149MQ3 2024: 148MQ4 2024: 149MQ1 2025: 150MQ2 2025: 149MQ3 2025: 150MQ4 2025: 150MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 148MQ3 2026: 146M
Q4 2023: 146MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 149MQ3 2024: 148MQ4 2024: 149MQ1 2025: 150MQ2 2025: 149MQ3 2025: 150MQ4 2025: 150MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 148MQ3 2026: 146M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-1.9M shares
1 year-2.6%-3.8M shares
3 years+22%+26.5M shares
5 years+32%+35.1M shares
Available history+36%+38.9M shares

MDXG has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MDXG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.2xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -3.4xQ2 2026: -10.1x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.2xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -3.4xQ2 2026: -10.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-10.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.9xNet Cash

MDXG has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

MDXG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.1Oversold
Stochastic15.2Oversold

MDXG's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY has the edge over MDXG on valuation relative to its sector.

MDXG PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMDXGSector medianRelative
PE98x26x278% above
PE %922963 pts above

MDXG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over MDXG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MDXG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.0921% below
20 week MA$4.2424% below
50 week MA$4.5228% below
100 week MA$5.9245% below
200 week MA$6.3149% below

MDXG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over MDXG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MDXG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.25$9.40+30%
2021$9.40$6.49-31%
2022$6.49$2.77-57%
2023$2.77$8.77+217%
2024$8.77$9.42+7.4%
2025$9.42$6.90-27%
2026 YTD$6.90$3.24-53%

MDXG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +217% in 2023 to −57% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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