LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over LNTH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

LNTH

Lantheus Holdings, Inc.

65
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

LNTH's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LNTH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Strong

LNTH's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

LNTH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE65x130x195x260x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE65x130x195x260x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$62.87-38%
Forward16x$101—
Fair24x$98.08-3.1%
Current25x$101—
Expensive141x$579+472%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LNTH has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

LNTH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LNTH, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LNTH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LNTH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$142.42
Downside-22%$79.30

Calculated from the latest close: $101.25 on Nov 12.

LNTH trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over LNTH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LNTH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.65Q1 2024: $6.56Q2 2024: $6.11Q3 2024: $6.02Q4 2024: $4.36Q1 2025: $3.51Q2 2025: $3.75Q3 2025: $2.37Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $4.19Q2 2026: $4.18Q3 2026: $4.10Forward: $6.35
Q4 2023: $4.65Q1 2024: $6.56Q2 2024: $6.11Q3 2024: $6.02Q4 2024: $4.36Q1 2025: $3.51Q2 2025: $3.75Q3 2025: $2.37Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $4.19Q2 2026: $4.18Q3 2026: $4.10Forward: $6.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.35+55%
Q3 2026$4.10+73%
Q2 2026$4.18+11%
Q1 2026$4.19+19%
Q4 2025$3.41-22%
Q3 2025$2.37-61%
Q2 2025$3.75-39%
Q1 2025$3.51-46%
Q4 2024$4.36-6.2%

LNTH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.10 over the past year, against $6.56 in early 2024.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over LNTH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LNTH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $354MQ1 2024: $370MQ2 2024: $394MQ3 2024: $379MQ4 2024: $391MQ1 2025: $373MQ2 2025: $378MQ3 2025: $384MQ4 2025: $407MQ1 2026: $377MQ2 2026: $388MQ3 2026: $390M
Q4 2023: $354MQ1 2024: $370MQ2 2024: $394MQ3 2024: $379MQ4 2024: $391MQ1 2025: $373MQ2 2025: $378MQ3 2025: $384MQ4 2025: $407MQ1 2026: $377MQ2 2026: $388MQ3 2026: $390M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$389.9M+1.5%
Q2 2026$388.2M+2.7%
Q1 2026$377.3M+1.2%
Q4 2025$406.8M+4%
Q3 2025$384M+1.4%
Q2 2025$378M-4.1%
Q1 2025$372.8M+0.8%
Q4 2024$391.1M+10%

LNTH's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $390M last quarter, up 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over LNTH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LNTH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $159MQ4 2024: $141MQ1 2025: $99MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $95MQ4 2025: $81MQ1 2026: $122MQ2 2026: $90MQ3 2026: $100M
Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $159MQ4 2024: $141MQ1 2025: $99MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $95MQ4 2025: $81MQ1 2026: $122MQ2 2026: $90MQ3 2026: $100M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$99.9M+5.6%
Q2 2026$89.9M+14%
Q1 2026$121.9M+23%
Q4 2025$81.4M-42%
Q3 2025$94.7M-41%
Q2 2025$79.1M+7.6%
Q1 2025$98.8M-17%
Q4 2024$141.4M+26%

LNTH generated $393M in free cash flow over the past year, down 5.1% from the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over LNTH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LNTH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 70MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 71MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 68MQ3 2026: 68M
Q4 2023: 70MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 71MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 68MQ3 2026: 68M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+895K shares
1 year+1.1%+750K shares
3 years-2.3%-1.6M shares
5 years+1.2%+790K shares
Available history+71%+28.3M shares

LNTH has 68M diluted shares, up 1.1% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

LNTH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

LNTH has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

LNTH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.4Neutral
Stochastic43.2Neutral

LNTH's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

LNTH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLNTHSector medianRelative
PE25x26x4.4% below
PE %552926 pts above

LNTH has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over LNTH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LNTH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$100.21% above
20 week MA$101.70.4% below
50 week MA$88.714% above
100 week MA$82.722% above
200 week MA$80.925% above

LNTH's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 25% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

LNTH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.3$14.7-27%
2021$14.7$29.4+100%
2022$29.4$50.6+72%
2023$50.6$62.0+22%
2024$62.0$92.1+48%
2025$92.1$66.7-28%
2026 YTD$66.7$101.3+52%

LNTH has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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