LKQ

LKQ Corporation

28
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential13/ 100
Risk potential59/ 100

LKQ trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over LKQ overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

LKQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

LKQ's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

LKQ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.2x$19.71—
Cheap13x$12.47-37%
Fair14x$13.82-30%
Expensive18x$17.41-12%
Current20x$19.71—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LKQ's PE is in its expensive range at 20x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.2x, in its cheap range.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over LKQ in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LKQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LKQ's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LKQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$21.45
Downside-59%$8.06

Calculated from the latest close: $19.71 on Nov 12.

LKQ trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LKQ, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LKQ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.49Q1 2024: $3.07Q2 2024: $2.72Q3 2024: $2.67Q4 2024: $2.62Q1 2025: $2.68Q2 2025: $2.73Q3 2025: $2.70Q4 2025: $2.35Q1 2026: $2.01Q2 2026: $1.79Q3 2026: $0.99Forward: $2.15
Q4 2023: $3.49Q1 2024: $3.07Q2 2024: $2.72Q3 2024: $2.67Q4 2024: $2.62Q1 2025: $2.68Q2 2025: $2.73Q3 2025: $2.70Q4 2025: $2.35Q1 2026: $2.01Q2 2026: $1.79Q3 2026: $0.99Forward: $2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.15+117%
Q3 2026$0.99-63%
Q2 2026$1.79-34%
Q1 2026$2.01-25%
Q4 2025$2.35-10%
Q3 2025$2.70+1.1%
Q2 2025$2.73+0.4%
Q1 2025$2.68-13%
Q4 2024$2.62-25%

LKQ has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

LKQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $3.6BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.4BQ3 2026: $3.3B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $3.6BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.4BQ3 2026: $3.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.3B-5.1%
Q2 2026$3.4B-6.4%
Q1 2026$3.5B+0.2%
Q4 2025$3.3B-1.3%
Q3 2025$3.5B-2.4%
Q2 2025$3.6B-1.9%
Q1 2025$3.5B-6.5%
Q4 2024$3.4B-4.1%

LKQ's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $3.3B last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE has the edge over LKQ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LKQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $87MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: $133MQ3 2024: $341MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: −$57MQ2 2025: $243MQ3 2025: $387MQ4 2025: $274MQ1 2026: −$96MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $372M
Q4 2023: $87MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: $133MQ3 2024: $341MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: −$57MQ2 2025: $243MQ3 2025: $387MQ4 2025: $274MQ1 2026: −$96MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $372M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$372M-3.9%
Q2 2026$60M-75%
Q1 2026-$96M-$39M
Q4 2025$274M+84%
Q3 2025$387M+13%
Q2 2025$243M+83%
Q1 2025-$57M-130%
Q4 2024$149M+71%

LKQ has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

LKQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 268MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 266MQ3 2024: 263MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 260MQ2 2025: 258MQ3 2025: 257MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 256MQ2 2026: 255MQ3 2026: 253M
Q4 2023: 268MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 266MQ3 2024: 263MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 260MQ2 2025: 258MQ3 2025: 257MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 256MQ2 2026: 255MQ3 2026: 253M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-1.8M shares
1 year-1.7%-4.4M shares
3 years-5.8%-15.5M shares
5 years-14%-42M shares
Available history-19%-58.1M shares

LKQ has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

LKQ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

LKQ has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LKQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

LKQ's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

LKQ PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLKQSector medianRelative
PE20x18x11% above
PE %914744 pts above

LKQ is trading at 20x earnings, a 11% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over LKQ on valuation relative to its sector.

LKQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.75% below
20 week MA$23.315% below
50 week MA$27.328% below
100 week MA$31.738% below
200 week MA$40.051% below

LKQ is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over LKQ on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LKQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.9$36.3+1.1%
2021$36.3$57.7+59%
2022$57.7$53.6-7.1%
2023$53.6$47.8-11%
2024$47.8$36.9-23%
2025$36.9$30.6-17%
2026 YTD$30.6$19.7-36%

LKQ has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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