LITE

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

77
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

LITE has the edge over UBER overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

UBER

Uber Technologies, Inc.

60
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential17/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

UBER's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LITE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

LITE's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

UBER Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Healthy

UBER's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

LITE PE Valuation

LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UBER PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x134x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x134x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$26.01-62%
Fair17x$29.70-57%
Forward17x$69.12—
Current40x$69.12—
Expensive93x$160+131%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UBER's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

LITE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LITE, with profitability improving.

UBER Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UBER, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LITE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+92%$1,197.24
Downside-45%$341.49

Calculated from the latest close: $624.65 on Nov 12.

LITE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UBER, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

UBER Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$75.80
Downside-49%$35.31

Calculated from the latest close: $69.12 on Nov 12.

UBER trails LITE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LITE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.95Q1 2024: $-5.26Q2 2024: $-8.12Q3 2024: $-8.31Q4 2024: $-7.72Q1 2025: $-6.48Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $3.40Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $-92.96Q3 2026: $-89.47Forward: $29.10
Q4 2023: $-3.95Q1 2024: $-5.26Q2 2024: $-8.12Q3 2024: $-8.31Q4 2024: $-7.72Q1 2025: $-6.48Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $3.40Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $-92.96Q3 2026: $-89.47Forward: $29.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.10—
Q3 2026-$89.47-5589%
Q2 2026-$92.96-25224%
Q1 2026$5.54+$12.02
Q4 2025$3.40+$11.12
Q3 2025$1.63+$9.94
Q2 2025$0.37+$8.49
Q1 2025-$6.48-$1.22
Q4 2024-$7.72-$3.77

LITE has swung to a loss: it lost $89.47 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

UBER Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.87Q1 2024: $0.63Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $4.56Q1 2025: $5.71Q2 2025: $5.87Q3 2025: $7.78Q4 2025: $4.73Q1 2026: $4.03Q2 2026: $4.57Q3 2026: $1.71Forward: $4.07
Q4 2023: $0.87Q1 2024: $0.63Q2 2024: $0.92Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $4.56Q1 2025: $5.71Q2 2025: $5.87Q3 2025: $7.78Q4 2025: $4.73Q1 2026: $4.03Q2 2026: $4.57Q3 2026: $1.71Forward: $4.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.07+138%
Q3 2026$1.71-78%
Q2 2026$4.57-22%
Q1 2026$4.03-29%
Q4 2025$4.73+3.7%
Q3 2025$7.78+285%
Q2 2025$5.87+538%
Q1 2025$5.71+806%
Q4 2024$4.56+424%

UBER has the edge over LITE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LITE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: $481MQ3 2025: $534MQ4 2025: $666MQ1 2026: $808MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: $481MQ3 2025: $534MQ4 2025: $666MQ1 2026: $808MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+137%
Q2 2026$1B+109%
Q1 2026$808.4M+90%
Q4 2025$665.5M+65%
Q3 2025$533.8M+58%
Q2 2025$480.7M+56%
Q1 2025$425.2M+16%
Q4 2024$402.2M+9.7%

LITE has the edge over UBER on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

UBER Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $10.1BQ2 2024: $10.7BQ3 2024: $11.2BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $11.5BQ2 2025: $12.7BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $14.4BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $14.2BQ3 2026: $14.8B
Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $10.1BQ2 2024: $10.7BQ3 2024: $11.2BQ4 2024: $12BQ1 2025: $11.5BQ2 2025: $12.7BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $14.4BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $14.2BQ3 2026: $14.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$14.8B+9.6%
Q2 2026$14.2B+12%
Q1 2026$13.2B+14%
Q4 2025$14.4B+20%
Q3 2025$13.5B+20%
Q2 2025$12.7B+18%
Q1 2025$11.5B+14%
Q4 2024$12B+20%

UBER's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $14.8B last quarter, up 9.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

LITE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: −$64MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: −$18MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: −$64MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: −$18MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.9M+$56.2M
Q2 2026$196.2M+1843%
Q1 2026$79.1M+$143.5M
Q4 2025$43.1M+$59M
Q3 2025-$18.3M+$16.2M
Q2 2025$10.1M-7.3%
Q1 2025-$64.4M-$37.8M
Q4 2024-$15.9M+$16.6M

LITE's free cash flow has turned positive after three years mostly in the red: $356M over the past year.

UBER Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $768MQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $768MQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B+14%
Q2 2026$2.8B+13%
Q1 2026$2.3B+1.6%
Q4 2025$2.8B+65%
Q3 2025$2.2B+5.7%
Q2 2025$2.5B+44%
Q1 2025$2.3B+66%
Q4 2024$1.7B+122%

UBER has the edge over LITE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LITE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.7%+5.5M shares
1 year+46%+32.1M shares
3 years+49%+33.4M shares
5 years+31%+24.2M shares
Available history+30%+23.7M shares

LITE has 102M diluted shares, up 46% from a year ago.

UBER Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.1BQ1 2024: 2.1BQ2 2024: 2.2BQ3 2024: 2.2BQ4 2024: 2.2BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.1BQ3 2025: 2.1BQ4 2025: 2.1BQ1 2026: 2.1BQ2 2026: 2.1BQ3 2026: 2.1B
Q4 2023: 2.1BQ1 2024: 2.1BQ2 2024: 2.2BQ3 2024: 2.2BQ4 2024: 2.2BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.1BQ3 2025: 2.1BQ4 2025: 2.1BQ1 2026: 2.1BQ2 2026: 2.1BQ3 2026: 2.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+99K shares
1 year-3.5%-74.1M shares
3 years-2.8%-58.2M shares
5 years+8%+151M shares
Available history+19%+326M shares

UBER has the edge over LITE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LITE Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 27.9xQ3 2025: 22.7xQ4 2025: 21.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q2 2025: 27.9xQ3 2025: 22.7xQ4 2025: 21.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20267.9xHigh
Q4 202521.6xHigh
Q3 202522.7xHigh
Q2 202527.9xHigh
Q3 2023-34.7xNet Cash
Q2 2023-7.2xNet Cash

LITE's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

UBER Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

UBER has the edge over LITE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LITE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic22.8Neutral

LITE's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

UBER Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.3Neutral
Stochastic19.7Oversold

UBER's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

LITE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLITESector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UBER PE vs Technology Sector

MetricUBERSector medianRelative
PE40x28x45% above
PE %683533 pts above

UBER is trading at 40x earnings, a 45% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

LITE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$839.326% below
20 week MA$838.626% below
50 week MA$732.715% below
100 week MA$422.748% above
200 week MA$237.9163% above

LITE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 163% above its 200-week average.

UBER Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$68.70.7% above
20 week MA$71.73.6% below
50 week MA$74.47.1% below
100 week MA$78.912% below
200 week MA$67.91.8% above

UBER's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 1.8% above its 200-week average.

LITE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$79.0$98.3+24%
2021$98.3$104.5+6.3%
2022$104.5$50.6-52%
2023$50.6$52.4+3.7%
2024$52.4$84.4+61%
2025$84.4$390.8+363%
2026 YTD$390.8$624.7+60%

LITE has the edge over UBER on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UBER Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.2$52.9+75%
2021$52.9$43.9-17%
2022$43.9$24.6-44%
2023$24.6$61.6+150%
2024$61.6$61.1-0.7%
2025$61.1$81.3+33%
2026 YTD$81.3$69.1-15%

UBER's yearly returns have swung widely, from +150% in 2023 to −44% in 2022. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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