LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
LITE has the edge over NOK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
NOK
Nokia Oyj
NOK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LITE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
LITE's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
NOK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
NOK's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
LITE PE Valuation
LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NOK PE Valuation
NOK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LITE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LITE, with profitability improving.
NOK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NOK, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LITE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.10 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$89.47 | -5589% |
| Q2 2026 | -$92.96 | -25224% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.54 | +$12.02 |
| Q4 2025 | $3.40 | +$11.12 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.63 | +$9.94 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.37 | +$8.49 |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.48 | -$1.22 |
| Q4 2024 | -$7.72 | -$3.77 |
LITE has swung to a loss: it lost $89.47 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
NOK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.15 | +67% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.14 | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.16 | +220% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.13 | -13% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.09 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.11 | +57% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.05 | -69% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.15 | +15% |
NOK has the edge over LITE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LITE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | +137% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | +109% |
| Q1 2026 | $808.4M | +90% |
| Q4 2025 | $665.5M | +65% |
| Q3 2025 | $533.8M | +58% |
| Q2 2025 | $480.7M | +56% |
| Q1 2025 | $425.2M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $402.2M | +9.7% |
LITE has the edge over NOK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +27 points |
| Q2 2026 | 28% | +30 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | +31 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.7% | +23 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.8% | +42 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +22 points |
| Q4 2024 | -13% | +16 points |
LITE has the edge over NOK on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NOK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.7B | +6.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.3B | +5.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $5B | +2.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.8B | +2.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.1B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.9B | -1.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.6B | +4.9% |
NOK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $5.7B last quarter, up 6.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | -1% | -2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8% | -7.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1% | -10 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9% | -1.6 points |
NOK's operating margin was 17% last quarter, up 12 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
LITE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $37.9M | +$56.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $196.2M | +1843% |
| Q1 2026 | $79.1M | +$143.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $43.1M | +$59M |
| Q3 2025 | -$18.3M | +$16.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $10.1M | -7.3% |
| Q1 2025 | -$64.4M | -$37.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$15.9M | +$16.6M |
LITE has the edge over NOK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NOK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$112M | -123% |
| Q2 2026 | -$832.1M | -951% |
| Q1 2026 | $698.8M | -13% |
| Q4 2025 | $252.2M | +354% |
| Q3 2025 | $476.6M | -37% |
| Q2 2025 | $97.8M | -78% |
| Q1 2025 | $801M | -25% |
| Q4 2024 | $55.5M | -97% |
NOK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$112M, but it generated $7M over the past year.
LITE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +5.7% | +5.5M shares |
| 1 year | +46% | +32.1M shares |
| 3 years | +49% | +33.4M shares |
| 5 years | +31% | +24.2M shares |
| Available history | +30% | +23.7M shares |
LITE has 102M diluted shares, up 46% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $139.8M |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | $35.8M |
NOK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -56.5M shares |
| 1 year | +4.7% | +257M shares |
| 3 years | +2.6% | +148M shares |
| 5 years | +0.9% | +54M shares |
| Available history | +2.2% | +123M shares |
NOK has the edge over LITE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $10M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $86.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $606.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $428.8M |
NOK has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
LITE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 7.9x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 21.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 22.7x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 27.9x | High |
| Q3 2023 | -34.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | -7.2x | Net Cash |
LITE's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
NOK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
NOK has the edge over LITE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LITE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 22.8 | Neutral |
LITE's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).
NOK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.3 | Oversold |
NOK's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
LITE PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | LITE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NOK PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NOK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
NOK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LITE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $839.3 | 26% below |
| 20 week MA | $838.6 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $732.7 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $422.7 | 48% above |
| 200 week MA | $237.9 | 163% above |
LITE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 163% above its 200-week average.
NOK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.14 | 9.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $9.92 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.66 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $7.35 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $5.67 | 46% above |
NOK has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.
LITE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $79.0 | $98.3 | +24% |
| 2021 | $98.3 | $104.5 | +6.3% |
| 2022 | $104.5 | $50.6 | -52% |
| 2023 | $50.6 | $52.4 | +3.7% |
| 2024 | $52.4 | $84.4 | +61% |
| 2025 | $84.4 | $390.8 | +363% |
| 2026 YTD | $390.8 | $624.7 | +60% |
LITE has the edge over NOK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NOK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $3.63 | $3.89 | +7.2% |
| 2021 | $3.89 | $6.19 | +59% |
| 2022 | $6.19 | $4.64 | -25% |
| 2023 | $4.64 | $3.42 | -26% |
| 2024 | $3.42 | $4.48 | +31% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $6.62 | +48% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.62 | $8.28 | +25% |
NOK has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 25% so far in 2026.