LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
LITE has the edge over NET overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
NET
Cloudflare, Inc.
NET has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LITE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
LITE's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
NET Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
NET's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LITE PE Valuation
LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NET PE Valuation
NET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LITE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LITE, with profitability improving.
NET Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NET, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LITE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.10 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$89.47 | -5589% |
| Q2 2026 | -$92.96 | -25224% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.54 | +$12.02 |
| Q4 2025 | $3.40 | +$11.12 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.63 | +$9.94 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.37 | +$8.49 |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.48 | -$1.22 |
| Q4 2024 | -$7.72 | -$3.77 |
LITE has the edge over NET on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NET Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.75 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.68 | -$0.37 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.58 | -$0.23 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.25 | -$0.01 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.29 | -$0.06 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.31 | -$0.05 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.35 | -$0.06 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.24 | +$0.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.23 | +$0.32 |
NET is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.68 per share over the past year, against $0.91 at its worst in mid-2022.
LITE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | +137% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | +109% |
| Q1 2026 | $808.4M | +90% |
| Q4 2025 | $665.5M | +65% |
| Q3 2025 | $533.8M | +58% |
| Q2 2025 | $480.7M | +56% |
| Q1 2025 | $425.2M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $402.2M | +9.7% |
LITE has the edge over NET on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +27 points |
| Q2 2026 | 28% | +30 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | +31 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.7% | +23 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.8% | +42 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +22 points |
| Q4 2024 | -13% | +16 points |
LITE has the edge over NET on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NET Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $782.5M | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $696.1M | +36% |
| Q1 2026 | $639.8M | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $614.5M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $562M | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $512.3M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $479.1M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $459.9M | +27% |
NET's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $783M last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -8.7% | -2 points |
| Q2 2026 | -30% | -16 points |
| Q1 2026 | -9.7% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | -6.7% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -13% | -4.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -11% | +3.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -7.5% | +4.3 points |
NET's operating margin was −8.7% last quarter, down 2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LITE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $37.9M | +$56.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $196.2M | +1843% |
| Q1 2026 | $79.1M | +$143.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $43.1M | +$59M |
| Q3 2025 | -$18.3M | +$16.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $10.1M | -7.3% |
| Q1 2025 | -$64.4M | -$37.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$15.9M | +$16.6M |
LITE's free cash flow has turned positive after three years mostly in the red: $356M over the past year.
NET Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $93.6M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $67.6M | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $93.1M | +55% |
| Q4 2025 | $105.2M | +94% |
| Q3 2025 | $82.5M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $39.9M | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $59.9M | +44% |
| Q4 2024 | $54.2M | -0.9% |
NET generated $359M in free cash flow over the past year, up 52% from the year before.
LITE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +5.7% | +5.5M shares |
| 1 year | +46% | +32.1M shares |
| 3 years | +49% | +33.4M shares |
| 5 years | +31% | +24.2M shares |
| Available history | +30% | +23.7M shares |
LITE has 102M diluted shares, up 46% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $139.8M |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | $35.8M |
NET Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.8% | +2.8M shares |
| 1 year | +2.2% | +7.8M shares |
| 3 years | +6.7% | +22.5M shares |
| 5 years | +14% | +42.6M shares |
| Available history | +144% | +211M shares |
NET has the edge over LITE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $34,000 |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
LITE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 7.9x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 21.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 22.7x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 27.9x | High |
| Q3 2023 | -34.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | -7.2x | Net Cash |
LITE's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
NET Net Leverage
NET's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LITE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 22.8 | Neutral |
LITE's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).
NET Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 37.6 | Neutral |
NET's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).
LITE PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | LITE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NET PE vs Technology Sector
NET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LITE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $839.3 | 26% below |
| 20 week MA | $838.6 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $732.7 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $422.7 | 48% above |
| 200 week MA | $237.9 | 163% above |
LITE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 163% above its 200-week average.
NET Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $318.6 | 0% below |
| 20 week MA | $299.8 | 6.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $241.0 | 32% above |
| 100 week MA | $204.9 | 55% above |
| 200 week MA | $139.8 | 128% above |
NET has the edge over LITE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LITE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $79.0 | $98.3 | +24% |
| 2021 | $98.3 | $104.5 | +6.3% |
| 2022 | $104.5 | $50.6 | -52% |
| 2023 | $50.6 | $52.4 | +3.7% |
| 2024 | $52.4 | $84.4 | +61% |
| 2025 | $84.4 | $390.8 | +363% |
| 2026 YTD | $390.8 | $624.7 | +60% |
LITE has the edge over NET on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NET Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $16.7 | $85.0 | +409% |
| 2021 | $85.0 | $137.3 | +62% |
| 2022 | $137.3 | $43.8 | -68% |
| 2023 | $43.8 | $83.3 | +90% |
| 2024 | $83.3 | $110.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $110.6 | $202.4 | +83% |
| 2026 YTD | $202.4 | $318.5 | +57% |
NET's yearly returns have swung widely, from +409% in 2020 to −68% in 2022. It's up 57% so far in 2026.