LITE

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

77
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

LITE lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve.

MARA

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score MARA yet.

LITE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

LITE's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

MARA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

MARA's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MARA.

LITE PE Valuation

LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MARA PE Valuation

MARA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LITE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LITE, with profitability improving.

MARA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MARA's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LITE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+92%$1,197.24
Downside-45%$341.49

Calculated from the latest close: $624.65 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LITE and MARA's risk to reward.

MARA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.20 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LITE and MARA's risk to reward.

LITE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.95Q1 2024: $-5.26Q2 2024: $-8.12Q3 2024: $-8.31Q4 2024: $-7.72Q1 2025: $-6.48Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $3.40Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $-92.96Q3 2026: $-89.47Forward: $29.10
Q4 2023: $-3.95Q1 2024: $-5.26Q2 2024: $-8.12Q3 2024: $-8.31Q4 2024: $-7.72Q1 2025: $-6.48Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $3.40Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $-92.96Q3 2026: $-89.47Forward: $29.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.10โ€”
Q3 2026-$89.47-5589%
Q2 2026-$92.96-25224%
Q1 2026$5.54+$12.02
Q4 2025$3.40+$11.12
Q3 2025$1.63+$9.94
Q2 2025$0.37+$8.49
Q1 2025-$6.48-$1.22
Q4 2024-$7.72-$3.77

LITE has the edge over MARA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MARA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.92Q1 2024: $2.23Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $0.87Q4 2024: $1.72Q1 2025: $-1.09Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $2.16Q4 2025: $-3.69Q1 2026: $-5.45Q2 2026: $-8.89Q3 2026: $-7.88
Q4 2023: $0.92Q1 2024: $2.23Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $0.87Q4 2024: $1.72Q1 2025: $-1.09Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $2.16Q4 2025: $-3.69Q1 2026: $-5.45Q2 2026: $-8.89Q3 2026: $-7.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$7.88-465%
Q2 2026-$8.89-705%
Q1 2026-$5.45-$4.36
Q4 2025-$3.69-315%
Q3 2025$2.16+148%
Q2 2025$1.47-10%
Q1 2025-$1.09-149%
Q4 2024$1.72+87%

MARA has swung to a loss: it lost $7.88 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LITE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: $481MQ3 2025: $534MQ4 2025: $666MQ1 2026: $808MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: $481MQ3 2025: $534MQ4 2025: $666MQ1 2026: $808MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+137%
Q2 2026$1B+109%
Q1 2026$808.4M+90%
Q4 2025$665.5M+65%
Q3 2025$533.8M+58%
Q2 2025$480.7M+56%
Q1 2025$425.2M+16%
Q4 2024$402.2M+9.7%

LITE has the edge over MARA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MARA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $214MQ1 2025: $214MQ2 2025: $238MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $202MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $175MQ3 2026: $164M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $214MQ1 2025: $214MQ2 2025: $238MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $202MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $175MQ3 2026: $164M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$164.2M-35%
Q2 2026$174.9M-27%
Q1 2026$174.6M-18%
Q4 2025$202.3M-5.6%
Q3 2025$252.4M+92%
Q2 2025$238.5M+64%
Q1 2025$213.9M+29%
Q4 2024$214.4M+37%

MARA's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $164M last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

LITE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$33MQ1 2024: โˆ’$27MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: โˆ’$35MQ4 2024: โˆ’$16MQ1 2025: โˆ’$64MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: โˆ’$18MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$33MQ1 2024: โˆ’$27MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: โˆ’$35MQ4 2024: โˆ’$16MQ1 2025: โˆ’$64MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: โˆ’$18MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.9M+$56.2M
Q2 2026$196.2M+1843%
Q1 2026$79.1M+$143.5M
Q4 2025$43.1M+$59M
Q3 2025-$18.3M+$16.2M
Q2 2025$10.1M-7.3%
Q1 2025-$64.4M-$37.8M
Q4 2024-$15.9M+$16.6M

LITE has the edge over MARA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MARA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$93MQ1 2024: โˆ’$97MQ2 2024: โˆ’$132MQ3 2024: โˆ’$198MQ4 2024: โˆ’$500MQ1 2025: โˆ’$254MQ2 2025: โˆ’$282MQ3 2025: โˆ’$284MQ4 2025: โˆ’$389MQ1 2026: โˆ’$327MQ2 2026: โˆ’$239MQ3 2026: โˆ’$264M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$93MQ1 2024: โˆ’$97MQ2 2024: โˆ’$132MQ3 2024: โˆ’$198MQ4 2024: โˆ’$500MQ1 2025: โˆ’$254MQ2 2025: โˆ’$282MQ3 2025: โˆ’$284MQ4 2025: โˆ’$389MQ1 2026: โˆ’$327MQ2 2026: โˆ’$239MQ3 2026: โˆ’$264M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$263.6M+$20.3M
Q2 2026-$238.5M+$43.8M
Q1 2026-$327M-$72.7M
Q4 2025-$389.2M+$110.7M
Q3 2025-$283.9M-$85.8M
Q2 2025-$282.4M-$150M
Q1 2025-$254.3M-$156.9M
Q4 2024-$499.9M-$407M

MARA's free cash flow was โˆ’$1.2B over the past year, against โˆ’$1.3B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MARA.

LITE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.7%+5.5M shares
1 year+46%+32.1M shares
3 years+49%+33.4M shares
5 years+31%+24.2M shares
Available history+30%+23.7M shares

LITE has 102M diluted shares, up 46% from a year ago.

MARA Total Shares

Q1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 279MQ3 2024: 295MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 344MQ2 2025: 441MQ3 2025: 470MQ1 2026: 380MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 496M
Q1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 279MQ3 2024: 295MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 344MQ2 2025: 441MQ3 2025: 470MQ1 2026: 380MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 496M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+30%+115M shares
1 year+13%+55.5M shares
3 years+212%+337M shares
5 years+416%+400M shares

MARA has the edge over LITE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LITE Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 27.9xQ3 2025: 22.7xQ4 2025: 21.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q2 2025: 27.9xQ3 2025: 22.7xQ4 2025: 21.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20267.9xHigh
Q4 202521.6xHigh
Q3 202522.7xHigh
Q2 202527.9xHigh
Q3 2023-34.7xNet Cash
Q2 2023-7.2xNet Cash

LITE's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

MARA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.1x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.9xModerate
Q3 20240.9xVery low
Q2 20240.1xVery low
Q1 20240.0xVery low
Q4 2023-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20232.6xModerate

MARA's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MARA.

LITE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic22.8Neutral

LITE's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

MARA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.4Neutral
Stochastic10.2Oversold

MARA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

LITE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLITESector medianRelative
PEN/A28xโ€”

LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MARA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMARASector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

MARA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LITE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$839.326% below
20 week MA$838.626% below
50 week MA$732.715% below
100 week MA$422.748% above
200 week MA$237.9163% above

LITE has the edge over MARA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MARA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.5416% below
20 week MA$10.330% below
50 week MA$10.632% below
100 week MA$13.346% below
200 week MA$14.450% below

MARA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 50% below its 200-week average.

LITE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$79.0$98.3+24%
2021$98.3$104.5+6.3%
2022$104.5$50.6-52%
2023$50.6$52.4+3.7%
2024$52.4$84.4+61%
2025$84.4$390.8+363%
2026 YTD$390.8$624.7+60%

LITE has the edge over MARA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MARA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$0.90$10.9+1113%
2021$10.9$38.1+249%
2022$38.1$3.62-91%
2023$3.62$23.5+549%
2024$23.5$18.4-21%
2025$18.4$9.59-48%
2026 YTD$9.59$7.20-25%

MARA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1113% in 2020 to โˆ’91% in 2022. It's down 25% so far in 2026.

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