LION

Lionsgate Studios Corp.

57
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

LION's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over LION overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

LION Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Weak

LION's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LION PE Valuation

LION has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

LION Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect LION's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over LION on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

LION Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$20.33
Downside-31%$9.79

Calculated from the latest close: $14.09 on Nov 12.

LION trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LION, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LION Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.57Q3 2024: $-1.01Q4 2024: $-0.85Q1 2025: $-0.51Q2 2025: $-0.67Q3 2025: $-0.67Q4 2025: $-0.85Q1 2026: $-0.70Q2 2026: $-0.40Q3 2026: $-0.06Forward: $0.32
Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.57Q3 2024: $-1.01Q4 2024: $-0.85Q1 2025: $-0.51Q2 2025: $-0.67Q3 2025: $-0.67Q4 2025: $-0.85Q1 2026: $-0.70Q2 2026: $-0.40Q3 2026: $-0.06Forward: $0.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.32—
Q3 2026-$0.06+$0.61
Q2 2026-$0.40+$0.27
Q1 2026-$0.70-$0.19
Q4 2025-$0.85$0.00
Q3 2025-$0.67+$0.34
Q2 2025-$0.67-$0.10
Q1 2025-$0.51-$0.11
Q4 2024-$0.85-$0.61

LION is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.06 per share over the past year, against $1.01 at its worst in late 2024.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over LION on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LION Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $692MQ1 2024: $880MQ2 2024: $487MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $714MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $526MQ3 2025: $475MQ4 2025: $724MQ1 2026: $907MQ2 2026: $777MQ3 2026: $669M
Q4 2023: $692MQ1 2024: $880MQ2 2024: $487MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $714MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $526MQ3 2025: $475MQ4 2025: $724MQ1 2026: $907MQ2 2026: $777MQ3 2026: $669M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$668.8M+41%
Q2 2026$776.6M+48%
Q1 2026$906.5M-15%
Q4 2025$724.3M+1.5%
Q3 2025$475.1M-57%
Q2 2025$525.9M+8%
Q1 2025$1.1B+22%
Q4 2024$713.8M+3.2%

LION's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $669M last quarter, up 41% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over LION on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LION Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $126MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: −$163MQ3 2024: −$87MQ4 2024: −$165MQ1 2025: $253MQ2 2025: −$35MQ3 2025: −$107MQ4 2025: −$112MQ1 2026: $265MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: −$56M
Q4 2023: $126MQ1 2024: $83MQ2 2024: −$163MQ3 2024: −$87MQ4 2024: −$165MQ1 2025: $253MQ2 2025: −$35MQ3 2025: −$107MQ4 2025: −$112MQ1 2026: $265MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: −$56M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$56.3M+$50.9M
Q2 2026$51.2M+$85.7M
Q1 2026$265M+5%
Q4 2025-$111.9M+$52.6M
Q3 2025-$107.2M-$20.7M
Q2 2025-$34.5M+$128.5M
Q1 2025$252.5M+206%
Q4 2024-$164.5M-230%

LION's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $148M over the past year.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX generated $11.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 27% from the year before.

LION Total Shares

Q4 2023: 289MQ1 2024: 253MQ2 2024: 246MQ3 2024: 289MQ4 2024: 289MQ1 2025: 289MQ2 2025: 272MQ3 2025: 289MQ4 2025: 290MQ1 2026: 285MQ2 2026: 292MQ3 2026: 298M
Q4 2023: 289MQ1 2024: 253MQ2 2024: 246MQ3 2024: 289MQ4 2024: 289MQ1 2025: 289MQ2 2025: 272MQ3 2025: 289MQ4 2025: 290MQ1 2026: 285MQ2 2026: 292MQ3 2026: 298M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.1%+6M shares
1 year+2.9%+8.4M shares
3 years+3.1%+8.9M shares
5 years+1757%+282M shares

LION has 298M diluted shares, up 2.9% from a year ago.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over LION on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LION Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 4.0xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 14.0xQ2 2026: 9.8xQ3 2026: 6.6x
Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 4.0xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 14.0xQ2 2026: 9.8xQ3 2026: 6.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.6xHigh
Q2 20269.8xHigh
Q1 202614.0xHigh
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20243.8xElevated

LION's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over LION on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LION Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic82.6Overbought

LION's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

LION PE vs Communication Services Sector

LION has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

LION Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.116% above
20 week MA$12.314% above
50 week MA$11.423% above

LION has stronger trend alignment. LION is above 3 of 3 weekly averages versus NFLX above 0 of 5.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

LION Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$7.12$9.31+31%
2026 YTD$9.31$14.1+51%

LION has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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