LION
Lionsgate Studios Corp.
LION offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
META has the edge over LION overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
LION Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
LION's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
META Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
META's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
LION PE Valuation
LION has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
META PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $624 | — |
| Cheap | 21x | $613 | -1.7% |
| Current | 21x | $624 | — |
| Fair | 27x | $803 | +29% |
| Expensive | 32x | $934 | +50% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
META's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.
LION Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect LION's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
META Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for META, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LION Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.32 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.06 | +$0.61 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.40 | +$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.70 | -$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.85 | $0.00 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.67 | +$0.34 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.67 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.51 | -$0.11 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.85 | -$0.61 |
LION is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.06 per share over the past year, against $1.01 at its worst in late 2024.
META Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $32.16 | +9.7% |
| Q3 2026 | $29.32 | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $26.54 | -3.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $27.50 | +7.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.49 | -1.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.58 | +6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $27.56 | +41% |
| Q1 2025 | $25.58 | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $23.86 | +60% |
META has the edge over LION on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LION Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $668.8M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $776.6M | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $906.5M | -15% |
| Q4 2025 | $724.3M | +1.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $475.1M | -57% |
| Q2 2025 | $525.9M | +8% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | +22% |
| Q4 2024 | $713.8M | +3.2% |
LION's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $669M last quarter, up 41% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.3% | +14 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.3% | +5.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +4.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5% | -2 points |
| Q3 2025 | -9.7% | -17 points |
| Q2 2025 | -2% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.8% | +6.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7% | +5.9 points |
LION's operating margin was 4.3% last quarter, up 14 points from the same quarter a year ago.
META Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $64.6B | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $60.8B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $56.3B | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $59.9B | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $51.2B | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $47.5B | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $42.3B | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.4B | +21% |
META has the edge over LION on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | -20 points |
| Q2 2026 | 31% | -12 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | -7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 43% | +5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | +3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 48% | +7.4 points |
META has the edge over LION on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LION Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$56.3M | +$50.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $51.2M | +$85.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $265M | +5% |
| Q4 2025 | -$111.9M | +$52.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$107.2M | -$20.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$34.5M | +$128.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $252.5M | +206% |
| Q4 2024 | -$164.5M | -230% |
LION has the edge over META on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
META Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.2B | -110% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | -81% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.2B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.8B | +9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.2B | -32% |
| Q2 2025 | $9B | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.1B | -14% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.6B | +16% |
META usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $28.6B over the past year.
LION Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.1% | +6M shares |
| 1 year | +2.9% | +8.4M shares |
| 3 years | +3.1% | +8.9M shares |
| 5 years | +1757% | +282M shares |
LION has 298M diluted shares, up 2.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
META Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +7M shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +1M shares |
| 3 years | -2.6% | -68M shares |
| 5 years | -10% | -286M shares |
| Available history | -11% | -303M shares |
META has the edge over LION on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $10.2B |
| Q1 2025 | $12.8B |
| Q4 2024 | — |
META hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
LION Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.6x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 9.8x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 14.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 3.8x | Elevated |
LION's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
META Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
META has the edge over LION on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LION Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 82.6 | Overbought |
LION's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).
META Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.7 | Neutral |
META's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
LION PE vs Communication Services Sector
LION has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
META PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | META | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 16x | 29% above |
| PE % | 18 | 26 | 8 pts below |
META is trading at 21x earnings, a 29% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
LION Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.1 | 16% above |
| 20 week MA | $12.3 | 14% above |
| 50 week MA | $11.4 | 23% above |
LION has stronger trend alignment. LION is above 3 of 3 weekly averages versus META above 1 of 5.
META Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $674.9 | 7.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $634.5 | 1.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $630.8 | 1.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $647.8 | 3.7% below |
| 200 week MA | $517.5 | 21% above |
META has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 21% above its 200-week average.
LION Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $7.12 | $9.31 | +31% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.31 | $14.1 | +51% |
LION has the edge over META on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
META Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $208.1 | $267.4 | +28% |
| 2021 | $267.4 | $335.2 | +25% |
| 2022 | $335.2 | $118.0 | -65% |
| 2023 | $118.0 | $354.0 | +200% |
| 2024 | $354.0 | $599.8 | +69% |
| 2025 | $599.8 | $663.3 | +11% |
| 2026 YTD | $663.3 | $623.6 | -6% |
META's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's down 6% so far in 2026.