LIEN

Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score LIEN yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

LIEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Stable
N/A
N/A

LIEN's profitability is currently stable. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like LIEN.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

LIEN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.9x3.9x5.8x7.7x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1.9x3.9x5.8x7.7x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward5.6x$9.05—
Cheap6.5x$8.78-3%
Fair6.7x$8.98-0.8%
Current6.7x$9.05—
Expensive7.2x$9.74+7.6%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LIEN has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

LIEN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect LIEN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over LIEN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

LIEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $9.05 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LIEN and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LIEN and MS's risk to reward.

LIEN Earnings Per Share

Q2 2025: $2.05Q3 2025: $2.47Q4 2025: $1.87Q1 2026: $1.50Q2 2026: $1.39Q3 2026: $1.35Forward: $1.61
Q2 2025: $2.05Q3 2025: $2.47Q4 2025: $1.87Q1 2026: $1.50Q2 2026: $1.39Q3 2026: $1.35Forward: $1.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.61+19%
Q3 2026$1.35-45%
Q2 2026$1.39-32%

LIEN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.35 over the past year, against $2.47 in late 2025.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over LIEN in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

LIEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

LIEN and MS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

LIEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: $401,760Q1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: −$56M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: $401,760Q1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: −$56M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$56M-$54.6M
Q2 2026$33M+1591%
Q1 2026-$20.8M-466%
Q4 2025-$13.8M-3527%
Q3 2025-$1.4M+$890.5K
Q2 2025$1.9M-21%
Q1 2025$5.7M+171%
Q4 2024$401.8K-94%

LIEN's free cash flow was −$58M over the past year, against $7M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like LIEN.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS has the edge over LIEN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LIEN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 10MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 10MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%+22 shares
3 years+267%+16.6M shares

LIEN has 23M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over LIEN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LIEN Net Leverage

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

LIEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.9Neutral
Stochastic5.3Oversold

LIEN's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

LIEN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricLIENSector medianRelative
PE6.7x13x49% below
PE %65623 pts above

LIEN has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

LIEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.292.6% below
20 week MA$9.625.9% below
50 week MA$9.858.1% below
100 week MA$10.312% below
200 week MA$10.211% below

LIEN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over LIEN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LIEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$14.0$9.75-30%
2023$9.75$8.44-13%
2024$8.44$12.1+43%
2025$12.1$10.6-12%
2026 YTD$10.6$9.05-15%

LIEN has finished lower in three of the last four years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over LIEN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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