LI
Li Auto Inc.
LI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has the edge over LI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
LI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
LI's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
LI PE Valuation
LI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
LI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
LI has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.69 | -162% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.28 | -125% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.15 | -87% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.63 | -56% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.12 | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.12 | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.12 | -32% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.42 | +60% |
LI has swung to a loss: it lost $0.69 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA has the edge over LI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | -16% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.4B | -12% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.3B | -32% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.1B | -37% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.6B | -4.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.9B | +1.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.3B | +2.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $6.5B | +24% |
LI's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $3.8B last quarter, down 16% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -8.6% | -10 points |
| Q1 2026 | -13% | -14 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9% | -9.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4.7% | -12 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8% | +0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.1% | +4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2024 | 7.7% | +1.1 points |
LI's operating margin was −8.6% last quarter, down 10 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA has the edge over LI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA has the edge over LI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$195.2M | +$505.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$888.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $142.7M | -84% |
| Q3 2025 | -$952.9M | -170% |
| Q2 2025 | -$701M | -$165.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$220.2M | +$538.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $909.3M | -59% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.4B | -32% |
LI's free cash flow was −$2.1B over the past year, against $1.3B the year before.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA has the edge over LI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -6.7M shares |
| 1 year | -6% | -64.2M shares |
| 3 years | -4.4% | -46.3M shares |
| 5 years | +11% | +102M shares |
| Available history | +11% | +102M shares |
LI has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
LI hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
LI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -9.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
LI has more cash than debt.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has more cash than debt.
LI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.3 | Neutral |
LI's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
LI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
LI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.5 | 2% above |
| 20 week MA | $12.0 | 2.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.0 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $20.0 | 41% below |
| 200 week MA | $24.4 | 52% below |
LI has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over LI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $16.0 | $29.3 | +83% |
| 2021 | $29.3 | $30.4 | +3.8% |
| 2022 | $30.4 | $18.8 | -38% |
| 2023 | $18.8 | $37.4 | +99% |
| 2024 | $37.4 | $25.5 | -32% |
| 2025 | $25.5 | $17.4 | -32% |
| 2026 YTD | $17.4 | $11.7 | -33% |
LI has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 33% so far in 2026.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA has the edge over LI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.