LGND

Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated

55
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential6/ 100
Risk potential79/ 100

LGND has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LGND Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Strong
Weak

LGND's cash flow is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

LGND PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x66x99x132x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x66x99x132x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap25x$62.36-80%
Forward29x$316—
Fair42x$106-67%
Expensive67x$170-46%
Current125x$316—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LGND's PE is in its expensive range at 125x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over LGND in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LGND Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

LGND has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LGND Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+5%$332.40
Downside-79%$65.30

Calculated from the latest close: $316.27 on Nov 12.

LGND trails NVO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LGND, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LGND Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.94Q1 2024: $5.36Q2 2024: $2.35Q3 2024: $2.55Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-7.18Q2 2025: $-4.06Q3 2025: $2.01Q4 2025: $6.13Q1 2026: $7.67Q2 2026: $9.65Q3 2026: $2.54Forward: $10.93
Q4 2023: $2.94Q1 2024: $5.36Q2 2024: $2.35Q3 2024: $2.55Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-7.18Q2 2025: $-4.06Q3 2025: $2.01Q4 2025: $6.13Q1 2026: $7.67Q2 2026: $9.65Q3 2026: $2.54Forward: $10.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.93+330%
Q3 2026$2.54+26%
Q2 2026$9.65+$13.71
Q1 2026$7.67+$14.85
Q4 2025$6.13+$6.35
Q3 2025$2.01-21%
Q2 2025-$4.06-273%
Q1 2025-$7.18-234%
Q4 2024-$0.22-107%

LGND's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.54 over the past year, against $29.34 in late 2019. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over LGND on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LGND Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $115MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $79M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $115MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $79M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$78.7M-32%
Q2 2026$63.7M+34%
Q1 2026$51.7M+14%
Q4 2025$59.7M+39%
Q3 2025$115.5M+123%
Q2 2025$47.6M+15%
Q1 2025$45.3M+46%
Q4 2024$42.8M+52%

LGND has the edge over NVO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LGND Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: −$26MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: −$28M
Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: −$26MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: −$28M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$27.7M-312%
Q2 2026$24M+54%
Q1 2026$48.5M+$74.1M
Q4 2025$45.9M+65%
Q3 2025$13.1M-64%
Q2 2025$15.6M+21%
Q1 2025-$25.7M-238%
Q4 2024$27.8M+263%

LGND usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$28M, but it generated $91M over the past year.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

LGND Total Shares

Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 20M
Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 20M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-8.6%-1.9M shares
1 year-3.2%-667K shares
3 years+15%+2.6M shares
5 years+16%+2.8M shares
Available history+16%+2.7M shares

LGND has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

LGND Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -3.3xQ4 2024: -5.7xQ2 2025: -104.6xQ3 2025: -2.7xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 18.2x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -3.3xQ4 2024: -5.7xQ2 2025: -104.6xQ3 2025: -2.7xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 18.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202618.2xHigh
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-104.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-3.3xNet Cash

LGND's net debt is about 18 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over LGND on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LGND Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.7Neutral
Stochastic80.9Overbought

LGND's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

LGND PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLGNDSector medianRelative
PE125x26x382% above
PE %1002971 pts above

LGND is trading at 125x earnings, a 382% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over LGND on valuation relative to its sector.

LGND Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$306.33.2% above
20 week MA$299.35.7% above
50 week MA$247.328% above
100 week MA$191.166% above
200 week MA$135.3134% above

LGND has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

LGND Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$66.7$66.2-0.8%
2021$66.2$100.6+52%
2022$100.6$67.3-33%
2023$67.3$71.4+6.1%
2024$71.4$109.2+53%
2025$109.2$195.8+79%
2026 YTD$195.8$316.3+62%

LGND has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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