LGND

Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated

55
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential6/ 100
Risk potential79/ 100

LGND's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over LGND overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

LGND Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Strong
Weak

LGND's cash flow is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LGND PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x66x99x132x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x66x99x132x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap25x$62.36-80%
Forward29x$316—
Fair42x$106-67%
Expensive67x$170-46%
Current125x$316—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LGND's PE is in its expensive range at 125x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY has the edge over LGND in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LGND Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LGND, with profitability improving.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

LGND Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+5%$332.40
Downside-79%$65.30

Calculated from the latest close: $316.27 on Nov 12.

LGND trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LGND, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LGND Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.94Q1 2024: $5.36Q2 2024: $2.35Q3 2024: $2.55Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-7.18Q2 2025: $-4.06Q3 2025: $2.01Q4 2025: $6.13Q1 2026: $7.67Q2 2026: $9.65Q3 2026: $2.54Forward: $10.93
Q4 2023: $2.94Q1 2024: $5.36Q2 2024: $2.35Q3 2024: $2.55Q4 2024: $-0.22Q1 2025: $-7.18Q2 2025: $-4.06Q3 2025: $2.01Q4 2025: $6.13Q1 2026: $7.67Q2 2026: $9.65Q3 2026: $2.54Forward: $10.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.93+330%
Q3 2026$2.54+26%
Q2 2026$9.65+$13.71
Q1 2026$7.67+$14.85
Q4 2025$6.13+$6.35
Q3 2025$2.01-21%
Q2 2025-$4.06-273%
Q1 2025-$7.18-234%
Q4 2024-$0.22-107%

LGND's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.54 over the past year, against $29.34 in late 2019. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over LGND on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LGND Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $115MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $79M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $31MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $115MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $79M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$78.7M-32%
Q2 2026$63.7M+34%
Q1 2026$51.7M+14%
Q4 2025$59.7M+39%
Q3 2025$115.5M+123%
Q2 2025$47.6M+15%
Q1 2025$45.3M+46%
Q4 2024$42.8M+52%

LGND's revenue fell from its 2025 peak and has held roughly level since: $79M last quarter, down 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over LGND on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LGND Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: −$26MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: −$28M
Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: −$26MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: −$28M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$27.7M-312%
Q2 2026$24M+54%
Q1 2026$48.5M+$74.1M
Q4 2025$45.9M+65%
Q3 2025$13.1M-64%
Q2 2025$15.6M+21%
Q1 2025-$25.7M-238%
Q4 2024$27.8M+263%

LGND usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$28M, but it generated $91M over the past year.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over LGND on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LGND Total Shares

Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 20M
Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 20M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-8.6%-1.9M shares
1 year-3.2%-667K shares
3 years+15%+2.6M shares
5 years+16%+2.8M shares
Available history+16%+2.7M shares

LGND has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

LGND Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -3.3xQ4 2024: -5.7xQ2 2025: -104.6xQ3 2025: -2.7xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 18.2x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -3.3xQ4 2024: -5.7xQ2 2025: -104.6xQ3 2025: -2.7xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 18.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202618.2xHigh
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-104.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-3.3xNet Cash

LGND's net debt is about 18 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over LGND on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LGND Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.7Neutral
Stochastic80.9Overbought

LGND's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

LGND PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLGNDSector medianRelative
PE125x26x382% above
PE %1002971 pts above

LGND is trading at 125x earnings, a 382% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY has the edge over LGND on valuation relative to its sector.

LGND Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$306.33.2% above
20 week MA$299.35.7% above
50 week MA$247.328% above
100 week MA$191.166% above
200 week MA$135.3134% above

LGND is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 134% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

LGND Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$66.7$66.2-0.8%
2021$66.2$100.6+52%
2022$100.6$67.3-33%
2023$67.3$71.4+6.1%
2024$71.4$109.2+53%
2025$109.2$195.8+79%
2026 YTD$195.8$316.3+62%

LGND has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

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