LFST

LifeStance Health Group, Inc.

67
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

LFST has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LFST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

LFST's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

LFST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE98x196x294x392x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE98x196x294x392x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward54x$14.15—
Current74x$14.15—
Cheap95x$17.99+27%
Fair128x$24.39+72%
Expensive319x$60.61+328%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LFST has the edge over NVO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LFST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

LFST has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LFST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$18.28
Downside-22%$11.06

Calculated from the latest close: $14.15 on Nov 12.

LFST trails NVO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LFST, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LFST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $-0.15Q1 2025: $-0.09Q2 2025: $-0.04Q3 2025: $-0.02Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $0.06Q2 2026: $0.13Q3 2026: $0.19Forward: $0.26
Q4 2024: $-0.15Q1 2025: $-0.09Q2 2025: $-0.04Q3 2025: $-0.02Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $0.06Q2 2026: $0.13Q3 2026: $0.19Forward: $0.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.26+39%
Q3 2026$0.19+$0.21
Q2 2026$0.13+$0.17
Q1 2026$0.06+$0.15
Q4 2025$0.02+$0.17

LFST has returned to profit: it earned $0.19 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

LFST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $281MQ1 2024: $300MQ2 2024: $312MQ3 2024: $313MQ4 2024: $325MQ1 2025: $333MQ2 2025: $345MQ3 2025: $364MQ4 2025: $382MQ1 2026: $403MQ2 2026: $435MQ3 2026: $456M
Q4 2023: $281MQ1 2024: $300MQ2 2024: $312MQ3 2024: $313MQ4 2024: $325MQ1 2025: $333MQ2 2025: $345MQ3 2025: $364MQ4 2025: $382MQ1 2026: $403MQ2 2026: $435MQ3 2026: $456M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$455.9M+25%
Q2 2026$435.4M+26%
Q1 2026$403.5M+21%
Q4 2025$382.2M+17%
Q3 2025$363.8M+16%
Q2 2025$345.3M+11%
Q1 2025$333M+11%
Q4 2024$325.5M+16%

LFST has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LFST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $22M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $22M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$22.4M+32%
Q2 2026$87.9M+55%
Q1 2026$22.3M+$32.6M
Q4 2025$46.6M-17%
Q3 2025$17M-3.8%
Q2 2025$56.6M+45%
Q1 2025-$10.3M+$16.7M
Q4 2024$56M+941%

LFST has the edge over NVO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

LFST Total Shares

Q1 2024: 376MQ2 2024: 379MQ3 2024: 380MQ4 2024: 379MQ1 2025: 391MQ2 2025: 387MQ3 2025: 389MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 395MQ2 2026: 387MQ3 2026: 391M
Q1 2024: 376MQ2 2024: 379MQ3 2024: 380MQ4 2024: 379MQ1 2025: 391MQ2 2025: 387MQ3 2025: 389MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 395MQ2 2026: 387MQ3 2026: 391M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+3.9M shares
1 year+0.6%+2.3M shares
3 years+4.7%+17.6M shares

LFST has 391M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over LFST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LFST Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 14.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: 14.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20255.5xHigh
Q4 202414.6xHigh

LFST has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LFST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.6Overbought
Stochastic75.0Neutral

LFST's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

LFST PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLFSTSector medianRelative
PE74x26x188% above
PE %33734 pts below

LFST is trading at 74x earnings, a 188% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over LFST on valuation relative to its sector.

LFST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.811% above
20 week MA$12.216% above
50 week MA$9.2253% above
100 week MA$7.6784% above
200 week MA$7.2495% above

LFST has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

LFST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.0$10.1-58%
2022$10.1$4.62-54%
2023$4.62$7.83+69%
2024$7.83$7.49-4.3%
2025$7.49$7.13-4.8%
2026 YTD$7.13$14.2+98%

LFST has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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