LFST

LifeStance Health Group, Inc.

67
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

LFST's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over LFST overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

LFST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

LFST's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LFST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE98x196x294x392x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE98x196x294x392x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward54x$14.15—
Current74x$14.15—
Cheap95x$17.99+27%
Fair128x$24.39+72%
Expensive319x$60.61+328%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LFST has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

LFST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LFST, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

LFST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$18.28
Downside-22%$11.06

Calculated from the latest close: $14.15 on Nov 12.

LFST trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LFST, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LFST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $-0.15Q1 2025: $-0.09Q2 2025: $-0.04Q3 2025: $-0.02Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $0.06Q2 2026: $0.13Q3 2026: $0.19Forward: $0.26
Q4 2024: $-0.15Q1 2025: $-0.09Q2 2025: $-0.04Q3 2025: $-0.02Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $0.06Q2 2026: $0.13Q3 2026: $0.19Forward: $0.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.26+39%
Q3 2026$0.19+$0.21
Q2 2026$0.13+$0.17
Q1 2026$0.06+$0.15
Q4 2025$0.02+$0.17

LFST has returned to profit: it earned $0.19 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $30.81 over the past year, up 51% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

LFST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $281MQ1 2024: $300MQ2 2024: $312MQ3 2024: $313MQ4 2024: $325MQ1 2025: $333MQ2 2025: $345MQ3 2025: $364MQ4 2025: $382MQ1 2026: $403MQ2 2026: $435MQ3 2026: $456M
Q4 2023: $281MQ1 2024: $300MQ2 2024: $312MQ3 2024: $313MQ4 2024: $325MQ1 2025: $333MQ2 2025: $345MQ3 2025: $364MQ4 2025: $382MQ1 2026: $403MQ2 2026: $435MQ3 2026: $456M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$455.9M+25%
Q2 2026$435.4M+26%
Q1 2026$403.5M+21%
Q4 2025$382.2M+17%
Q3 2025$363.8M+16%
Q2 2025$345.3M+11%
Q1 2025$333M+11%
Q4 2024$325.5M+16%

LFST's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $456M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over LFST on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

LFST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $22M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $22M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$22.4M+32%
Q2 2026$87.9M+55%
Q1 2026$22.3M+$32.6M
Q4 2025$46.6M-17%
Q3 2025$17M-3.8%
Q2 2025$56.6M+45%
Q1 2025-$10.3M+$16.7M
Q4 2024$56M+941%

LFST generated $179M in free cash flow over the past year, up 50% from the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.

LFST Total Shares

Q1 2024: 376MQ2 2024: 379MQ3 2024: 380MQ4 2024: 379MQ1 2025: 391MQ2 2025: 387MQ3 2025: 389MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 395MQ2 2026: 387MQ3 2026: 391M
Q1 2024: 376MQ2 2024: 379MQ3 2024: 380MQ4 2024: 379MQ1 2025: 391MQ2 2025: 387MQ3 2025: 389MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 395MQ2 2026: 387MQ3 2026: 391M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+3.9M shares
1 year+0.6%+2.3M shares
3 years+4.7%+17.6M shares

LFST has 391M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over LFST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LFST Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 14.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: 14.6xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20255.5xHigh
Q4 202414.6xHigh

LFST has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

LFST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.6Overbought
Stochastic75.0Neutral

LFST's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

LFST PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLFSTSector medianRelative
PE74x26x188% above
PE %33734 pts below

LFST is trading at 74x earnings, a 188% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY has the edge over LFST on valuation relative to its sector.

LFST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.811% above
20 week MA$12.216% above
50 week MA$9.2253% above
100 week MA$7.6784% above
200 week MA$7.2495% above

LFST is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 95% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

LFST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.0$10.1-58%
2022$10.1$4.62-54%
2023$4.62$7.83+69%
2024$7.83$7.49-4.3%
2025$7.49$7.13-4.8%
2026 YTD$7.13$14.2+98%

LFST has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

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