LEA

Lear Corporation

64
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation74/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

LEA has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LEA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

LEA's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

LEA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x99x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x99x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.8x$109—
Current9.5x$109—
Cheap11x$121+12%
Fair14x$164+51%
Expensive38x$434+300%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LEA has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

LEA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect LEA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LEA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$136.43
Downside-13%$94.34

Calculated from the latest close: $108.57 on Nov 12.

LEA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails LEA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LEA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.68Q1 2024: $9.17Q2 2024: $9.35Q3 2024: $9.51Q4 2024: $8.97Q1 2025: $8.56Q2 2025: $8.60Q3 2025: $8.21Q4 2025: $8.15Q2 2026: $10.00Q3 2026: $10.73Q4 2026: $11.45Forward: $15.95
Q4 2023: $9.68Q1 2024: $9.17Q2 2024: $9.35Q3 2024: $9.51Q4 2024: $8.97Q1 2025: $8.56Q2 2025: $8.60Q3 2025: $8.21Q4 2025: $8.15Q2 2026: $10.00Q3 2026: $10.73Q4 2026: $11.45Forward: $15.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.95+39%
Q3 2026$11.45+39%
Q2 2026$10.73+25%
Q1 2026$10.00+17%
Q4 2025$8.15-9.1%
Q3 2025$8.21-14%
Q2 2025$8.60-8%
Q1 2025$8.56-6.7%
Q4 2024$8.97-7.3%

LEA has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

LEA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.8BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $5.6BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.6BQ2 2025: $6BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $6BQ2 2026: $5.8BQ3 2026: $6.2BQ4 2026: $5.8B
Q4 2023: $5.8BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $6BQ3 2024: $5.6BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.6BQ2 2025: $6BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $6BQ2 2026: $5.8BQ3 2026: $6.2BQ4 2026: $5.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.8B+1.6%
Q2 2026$6.2B+3%
Q1 2026$5.8B+4.7%
Q4 2025$6B+4.8%
Q3 2025$5.7B+1.7%
Q2 2025$6B+0.3%
Q1 2025$5.6B-7.2%
Q4 2024$5.7B-2.2%

LEA has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

LEA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $377MQ1 2024: −$148MQ2 2024: $170MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $489MQ1 2025: −$232MQ2 2025: $171MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $281MQ2 2026: −$27MQ3 2026: $288MQ4 2026: $158M
Q4 2023: $377MQ1 2024: −$148MQ2 2024: $170MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $489MQ1 2025: −$232MQ2 2025: $171MQ3 2025: $307MQ4 2025: $281MQ2 2026: −$27MQ3 2026: $288MQ4 2026: $158M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$158.4M-48%
Q2 2026$287.8M+69%
Q1 2026-$26.5M+$205.2M
Q4 2025$281.1M-42%
Q3 2025$307M+508%
Q2 2025$170.8M+0.2%
Q1 2025-$231.7M-$83.5M
Q4 2024$488.7M+30%

LEA has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

LEA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 51MQ4 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 51MQ4 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-968K shares
1 year-7.1%-3.8M shares
3 years-16%-9.2M shares
5 years-17%-10.1M shares
Available history-19%-12.1M shares

LEA has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

LEA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2xQ4 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2xQ4 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

LEA's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over LEA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LEA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

LEA's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

LEA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLEASector medianRelative
PE9.5x18x47% below
PE %54742 pts below

LEA has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LEA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$117.07.2% below
20 week MA$125.313% below
50 week MA$126.414% below
100 week MA$111.62.7% below
200 week MA$120.29.7% below

LEA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9.7% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over LEA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LEA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$138.5$159.9+15%
2021$159.9$180.0+13%
2022$180.0$121.9-32%
2023$121.9$141.2+16%
2024$141.2$95.4-32%
2025$95.4$116.9+23%
2026 YTD$116.9$108.6-7.1%

LEA has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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