LEA
Lear Corporation
LEA has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
LEA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
LEA's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
LEA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 6.8x | $109 | — |
| Current | 9.5x | $109 | — |
| Cheap | 11x | $121 | +12% |
| Fair | 14x | $164 | +51% |
| Expensive | 38x | $434 | +300% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LEA's PE is in its cheap range at 9.5x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.8x next year's earnings.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over LEA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
LEA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
LEA has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LEA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $15.95 | +39% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.45 | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.73 | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.00 | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.15 | -9.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.21 | -14% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.60 | -8% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.56 | -6.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.97 | -7.3% |
LEA has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
LEA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.8B | +1.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.2B | +3% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.8B | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $6B | +4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B | +1.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $6B | +0.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.6B | -7.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.7B | -2.2% |
LEA has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.4% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.3% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.4% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.6% | -1.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.4% | -0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.3% | 0 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.7% | -0.1 points |
LEA's operating margin was 3.4% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over LEA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LEA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $158.4M | -48% |
| Q2 2026 | $287.8M | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | -$26.5M | +$205.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $281.1M | -42% |
| Q3 2025 | $307M | +508% |
| Q2 2025 | $170.8M | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | -$231.7M | -$83.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $488.7M | +30% |
LEA has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
LEA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.9% | -968K shares |
| 1 year | -7.1% | -3.8M shares |
| 3 years | -16% | -9.2M shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -10.1M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -12.1M shares |
LEA has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $175M |
| Q2 2026 | $100M |
| Q1 2026 | $75M |
| Q4 2025 | $175.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $102.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $25M |
| Q4 2024 | $105.9M |
LEA spent $525M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 105% from the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
LEA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
LEA's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over LEA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LEA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.0 | Oversold |
LEA's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
LEA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LEA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.5x | 18x | 47% below |
| PE % | 5 | 47 | 42 pts below |
LEA has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LEA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $117.0 | 7.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $125.3 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $126.4 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $111.6 | 2.7% below |
| 200 week MA | $120.2 | 9.7% below |
LEA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9.7% below its 200-week average.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has the edge over LEA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LEA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $138.5 | $159.9 | +15% |
| 2021 | $159.9 | $180.0 | +13% |
| 2022 | $180.0 | $121.9 | -32% |
| 2023 | $121.9 | $141.2 | +16% |
| 2024 | $141.2 | $95.4 | -32% |
| 2025 | $95.4 | $116.9 | +23% |
| 2026 YTD | $116.9 | $108.6 | -7.1% |
LEA has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.