LCNB
LCNB Corp.
LCNB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over LCNB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
LCNB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
LCNB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like LCNB.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
LCNB PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.1x | $15.99 | -18% |
| Forward | 10x | $19.58 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $18.44 | -5.8% |
| Current | 11x | $19.58 | — |
| Expensive | 13x | $23.10 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LCNB has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
LCNB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect LCNB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over LCNB on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
LCNB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.90 | +8.4% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.75 | +4.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.73 | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.61 | +40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.63 | +68% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.67 | +255% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.49 | +181% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.15 | +31% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.97 | -12% |
LCNB earned $1.75 per share over the past year, up 4.8% from the year before.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over LCNB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LCNB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M | +5% |
| Q2 2026 | $25.1M | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $23.5M | +9.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9M | +5.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $23.8M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.8M | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $21.5M | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.7M | +18% |
LCNB's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $25M last quarter, up 5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 36% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 37% | +5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 23% | -3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | -3.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | +11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | +27 points |
| Q1 2025 | 26% | +13 points |
| Q4 2024 | 33% | +36 points |
LCNB has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over LCNB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LCNB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10.2M | -25% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.4M | +42% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.8M | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4M | -69% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7M | +40% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2M | -90% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.1M | +$15.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $39.7M | +425% |
LCNB has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
LCNB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +8.5K shares |
| 1 year | +0.5% | +69K shares |
| 3 years | +28% | +3.1M shares |
| 5 years | +14% | +1.7M shares |
| Available history | +8.3% | +1.1M shares |
LCNB has 14M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $1.5M |
| Q1 2023 | $1.8M |
| Q4 2022 | $680,000 |
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over LCNB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
LCNB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 7.2x | High |
LCNB has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
LCNB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 58.9 | Neutral |
LCNB's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
LCNB PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | LCNB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 13x | 14% below |
| PE % | 64 | 63 | 1 pt above |
LCNB has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
LCNB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $19.2 | 1.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $19.2 | 1.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $17.7 | 11% above |
| 100 week MA | $16.4 | 20% above |
| 200 week MA | $15.9 | 23% above |
LCNB has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
LCNB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $19.5 | $14.6 | -25% |
| 2021 | $14.6 | $19.4 | +33% |
| 2022 | $19.4 | $17.7 | -8.9% |
| 2023 | $17.7 | $15.8 | -11% |
| 2024 | $15.8 | $14.9 | -5.3% |
| 2025 | $14.9 | $16.5 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.5 | $19.6 | +19% |
LCNB has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.