LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

XPEV

XPeng Inc.

53
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

XPEV has a slight edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

XPEV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Unavailable

XPEV's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

XPEV PE Valuation

XPEV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

XPEV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect XPEV's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than XPEV, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

XPEV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$13.03
Downside-27%$6.95

Calculated from the latest close: $9.46 on Nov 12.

XPEV trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

XPEV Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.99Q4 2023: $-1.79Q1 2024: $-1.60Q2 2024: $-1.31Q3 2024: $-0.92Q4 2024: $-0.92Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-0.68Q3 2025: $-0.45Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $-0.58Q2 2026: $-0.93
Q3 2023: $-1.99Q4 2023: $-1.79Q1 2024: $-1.60Q2 2024: $-1.31Q3 2024: $-0.92Q4 2024: $-0.92Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-0.68Q3 2025: $-0.45Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $-0.58Q2 2026: $-0.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.93-$0.25
Q1 2026-$0.58+$0.23
Q4 2025-$0.12+$0.80
Q3 2025-$0.45+$0.47
Q2 2025-$0.68+$0.63
Q1 2025-$0.81+$0.79
Q4 2024-$0.92+$0.87
Q3 2024-$0.92+$1.07

XPEV has the edge over LCID on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over XPEV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XPEV Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.3BQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $983MQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $3B
Q3 2023: $1.3BQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $983MQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3B+7.7%
Q1 2026$1.9B-18%
Q4 2025$3.3B+36%
Q3 2025$3.1B+102%
Q2 2025$2.7B+125%
Q1 2025$2.4B+141%
Q4 2024$2.4B+23%
Q3 2024$1.5B+18%

XPEV's revenue is growing: $3B last quarter, up 7.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has the edge over XPEV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XPEV Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

XPEV's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

XPEV Total Shares

Q3 2023: 865MQ4 2023: 934MQ1 2024: 943MQ2 2024: 944MQ3 2024: 944MQ4 2024: 946MQ1 2025: 946MQ2 2025: 946MQ3 2025: 953MQ4 2025: 484MQ1 2026: 478MQ2 2026: 478M
Q3 2023: 865MQ4 2023: 934MQ1 2024: 943MQ2 2024: 944MQ3 2024: 944MQ4 2024: 946MQ1 2025: 946MQ2 2025: 946MQ3 2025: 953MQ4 2025: 484MQ1 2026: 478MQ2 2026: 478M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+541K shares
1 year-49%-467M shares
3 years-45%-383M shares
5 years-44%-377M shares
Available history-44%-377M shares

XPEV has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

XPEV Net Leverage

XPEV's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

XPEV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.5Neutral
Stochastic17.7Oversold

XPEV's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

XPEV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

XPEV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

XPEV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.561% below
20 week MA$11.114% below
50 week MA$14.937% below
100 week MA$17.245% below
200 week MA$14.233% below

XPEV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

XPEV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.8$41.9+84%
2021$41.9$46.1+10%
2022$46.1$10.1-78%
2023$10.1$14.6+45%
2024$14.6$12.6-13%
2025$12.6$20.8+65%
2026 YTD$20.8$9.46-54%

XPEV has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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