LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over WYNN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

WYNN

Wynn Resorts, Limited

36
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

WYNN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WYNN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

WYNN's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WYNN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE420x840x1261x1681x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE420x840x1261x1681x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$42.76-48%
Forward21x$83.02—
Fair24x$82.88-0.2%
Current24x$83.02—
Expensive36x$127+53%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WYNN's PE is in its fair range at 24x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 21x.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WYNN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect WYNN's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WYNN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

WYNN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$99.16
Downside-45%$45.78

Calculated from the latest close: $83.02 on Nov 12.

WYNN trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

WYNN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.32Q1 2024: $7.64Q2 2024: $7.71Q3 2024: $8.45Q4 2024: $4.35Q1 2025: $3.74Q2 2025: $3.47Q3 2025: $4.61Q4 2025: $3.14Q1 2026: $3.49Q2 2026: $4.17Q3 2026: $3.49Forward: $3.89
Q4 2023: $6.32Q1 2024: $7.64Q2 2024: $7.71Q3 2024: $8.45Q4 2024: $4.35Q1 2025: $3.74Q2 2025: $3.47Q3 2025: $4.61Q4 2025: $3.14Q1 2026: $3.49Q2 2026: $4.17Q3 2026: $3.49Forward: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.89+11%
Q3 2026$3.49-24%
Q2 2026$4.17+20%
Q1 2026$3.49-6.7%
Q4 2025$3.14-28%
Q3 2025$4.61-45%
Q2 2025$3.47-55%
Q1 2025$3.74-51%
Q4 2024$4.35-31%

WYNN has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over WYNN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WYNN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B-7.9%
Q2 2026$1.9B+6.9%
Q1 2026$1.9B+9.2%
Q4 2025$1.9B+1.5%
Q3 2025$1.8B+8.3%
Q2 2025$1.7B+0.3%
Q1 2025$1.7B-8.7%
Q4 2024$1.8B-0.1%

WYNN's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $1.7B last quarter, down 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

WYNN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $328MQ1 2024: $217MQ2 2024: $259MQ3 2024: $178MQ4 2024: $352MQ1 2025: −$26MQ2 2025: $240MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $307MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $339MQ3 2026: −$105M
Q4 2023: $328MQ1 2024: $217MQ2 2024: $259MQ3 2024: $178MQ4 2024: $352MQ1 2025: −$26MQ2 2025: $240MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $307MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $339MQ3 2026: −$105M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$104.8M-161%
Q2 2026$338.9M+41%
Q1 2026-$25.6M+$548K
Q4 2025$306.8M-13%
Q3 2025$171.8M-3.5%
Q2 2025$239.8M-7.5%
Q1 2025-$26.2M-112%
Q4 2024$351.8M+7.3%

WYNN has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

WYNN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 113MQ1 2024: 111MQ2 2024: 111MQ3 2024: 110MQ4 2024: 110MQ1 2025: 106MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 104MQ2 2026: 103MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 113MQ1 2024: 111MQ2 2024: 111MQ3 2024: 110MQ4 2024: 110MQ1 2025: 106MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 104MQ2 2026: 103MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-716K shares
1 year-1.3%-1.4M shares
3 years-9.3%-10.5M shares
5 years-11%-12.4M shares
Available history-4.4%-4.7M shares

WYNN has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WYNN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 5.2xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 5.0xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.3xQ2 2026: 5.1xQ3 2026: 5.4x
Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 4.9xQ3 2024: 5.2xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 5.0xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.3xQ2 2026: 5.1xQ3 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.4xHigh
Q2 20265.1xHigh
Q1 20265.3xHigh
Q4 20255.2xHigh
Q3 20255.0xHigh
Q2 20255.2xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20244.5xHigh

WYNN's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.0 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

WYNN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.6Neutral
Stochastic25.5Neutral

WYNN's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WYNN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricWYNNSector medianRelative
PE24x18x32% above
PE %49472 pts above

WYNN is trading at 24x earnings, a 32% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

WYNN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$77.76.9% above
20 week MA$88.66.3% below
50 week MA$100.918% below
100 week MA$100.317% below
200 week MA$98.516% below

WYNN has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

WYNN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.8$114.4-18%
2021$114.4$88.9-22%
2022$88.9$80.7-9.2%
2023$80.7$91.1+13%
2024$91.1$88.7-2.7%
2025$88.7$124.4+40%
2026 YTD$124.4$83.0-33%

WYNN has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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