LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

WSM

Williams-Sonoma, Inc.

55
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation25/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

WSM has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WSM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

WSM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WSM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.3x15x22x29x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.3x15x22x29x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9x$87.36-65%
Fair17x$164-34%
Expensive22x$212-15%
Forward25x$250—
Current26x$250—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WSM's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WSM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WSM, with profitability improving.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WSM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WSM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$319.40
Downside-20%$200.67

Calculated from the latest close: $250.38 on Nov 12.

WSM trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

WSM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.18Q1 2024: $7.28Q2 2024: $8.13Q3 2024: $8.31Q4 2024: $8.45Q1 2025: $8.79Q2 2025: $8.61Q3 2025: $8.87Q4 2025: $8.87Q1 2026: $8.84Q2 2026: $8.92Q3 2026: $9.76Forward: $10.16
Q4 2023: $7.18Q1 2024: $7.28Q2 2024: $8.13Q3 2024: $8.31Q4 2024: $8.45Q1 2025: $8.79Q2 2025: $8.61Q3 2025: $8.87Q4 2025: $8.87Q1 2026: $8.84Q2 2026: $8.92Q3 2026: $9.76Forward: $10.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.16+4.1%
Q3 2026$9.76+10%
Q2 2026$8.92+3.6%
Q1 2026$8.84+0.6%
Q4 2025$8.87+5%
Q3 2025$8.87+6.7%
Q2 2025$8.61+5.9%
Q1 2025$8.79+21%
Q4 2024$8.45+18%

WSM has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over WSM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WSM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+6.7%
Q2 2026$1.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$2.4B-4.3%
Q4 2025$1.9B+4.6%
Q3 2025$1.8B+2.7%
Q2 2025$1.7B+4.2%
Q1 2025$2.5B+8%
Q4 2024$1.8B-2.9%

WSM's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $2B last quarter, up 6.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

WSM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $248MQ1 2024: $621MQ2 2024: $187MQ3 2024: $215MQ4 2024: $170MQ1 2025: $566MQ2 2025: $61MQ3 2025: $231MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $516MQ2 2026: $99MQ3 2026: $481M
Q4 2023: $248MQ1 2024: $621MQ2 2024: $187MQ3 2024: $215MQ4 2024: $170MQ1 2025: $566MQ2 2025: $61MQ3 2025: $231MQ4 2025: $248MQ1 2026: $516MQ2 2026: $99MQ3 2026: $481M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$480.8M+108%
Q2 2026$98.6M+63%
Q1 2026$516M-8.9%
Q4 2025$248.1M+46%
Q3 2025$230.7M+7.3%
Q2 2025$60.7M-68%
Q1 2025$566.3M-8.8%
Q4 2024$170.1M-32%

WSM has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

WSM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 130MQ1 2024: 131MQ2 2024: 131MQ3 2024: 130MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 125MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 123MQ1 2026: 123MQ2 2026: 120MQ3 2026: 119M
Q4 2023: 130MQ1 2024: 131MQ2 2024: 131MQ3 2024: 130MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 125MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 123MQ1 2026: 123MQ2 2026: 120MQ3 2026: 119M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-1M shares
1 year-3.8%-4.7M shares
3 years-7.9%-10.2M shares
5 years-22%-34.3M shares
Available history-25%-39.5M shares

WSM has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WSM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

WSM has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

WSM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.1Neutral
Stochastic66.6Neutral

WSM's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WSM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricWSMSector medianRelative
PE26x18x42% above
PE %984751 pts above

WSM is trading at 26x earnings, a 42% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

WSM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$245.71.9% above
20 week MA$237.15.6% above
50 week MA$213.118% above
100 week MA$197.327% above
200 week MA$151.365% above

WSM has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

WSM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.5$53.8+47%
2021$53.8$84.5+57%
2022$84.5$60.1-29%
2023$60.1$100.9+68%
2024$100.9$186.1+84%
2025$186.1$188.6+1.4%
2026 YTD$188.6$250.4+33%

WSM has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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