LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
WINA
Winmark Corporation
WINA has a slight edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
WINA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
WINA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
WINA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 21x | $240 | -12% |
| Current | 24x | $272 | — |
| Fair | 28x | $312 | +15% |
| Expensive | 36x | $403 | +48% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WINA's PE is in its fair range at 24x.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
WINA Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for WINA to show an outlook.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
WINA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.20 | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.01 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.09 | -0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.30 | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.22 | +2.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.23 | +2.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.19 | +2.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.89 | -1.4% |
WINA has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over WINA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
WINA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $27.9M | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $22M | +7.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.8M | -4.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $21.1M | +7.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.6M | +5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $20.4M | +1.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $21.9M | +9% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.5M | -2.5% |
WINA's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $28M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 57% | -9.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 62% | -1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 59% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 62% | -3.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 66% | -3.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 64% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 62% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 65% | +2.8 points |
WINA has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
WINA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.7M | +4.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.7M | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.9M | -21% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.5M | +0.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.2M | +0.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $9M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $15M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.5M | -2.4% |
WINA has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
WINA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -10.3K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -7.5K shares |
| 3 years | +0.9% | +31.9K shares |
| 5 years | -2.6% | -97.2K shares |
| Available history | -10% | -415K shares |
WINA has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.1M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $168,800 |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2M |
| Q4 2022 | $838,600 |
| Q3 2022 | $433,700 |
| Q2 2022 | $11.3M |
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
WINA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
WINA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
WINA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.8 | Oversold |
WINA's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
WINA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | WINA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 18x | 35% above |
| PE % | 39 | 47 | 8 pts below |
WINA is trading at 24x earnings, a 35% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
WINA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $287.9 | 5.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $324.0 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $379.4 | 28% below |
| 100 week MA | $389.0 | 30% below |
| 200 week MA | $376.0 | 28% below |
WINA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% below its 200-week average.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
WINA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $196.2 | $184.0 | -6.2% |
| 2021 | $184.0 | $241.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $241.9 | $238.4 | -1.5% |
| 2023 | $238.4 | $417.6 | +75% |
| 2024 | $417.6 | $396.2 | -5.1% |
| 2025 | $396.2 | $410.2 | +3.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $410.2 | $271.7 | -34% |
WINA has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.