LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over WGO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

WGO

Winnebago Industries, Inc.

48
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

WGO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

WGO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

WGO's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WGO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE36x72x108x144x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE36x72x108x144x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6x$7.31-76%
Fair15x$18.48-40%
Forward16x$31.04—
Expensive26x$31.82+2.5%
Current26x$31.04—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WGO's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WGO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect WGO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WGO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WGO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$40.05
Downside-23%$23.87

Calculated from the latest close: $31.04 on Nov 12.

WGO trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

WGO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.28Q1 2024: $3.33Q2 2024: $2.58Q3 2024: $0.44Q4 2024: $-0.52Q1 2025: $-0.11Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $0.91Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.47Q2 2026: $1.36Q3 2026: $1.21Forward: $1.98
Q4 2023: $5.28Q1 2024: $3.33Q2 2024: $2.58Q3 2024: $0.44Q4 2024: $-0.52Q1 2025: $-0.11Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $0.91Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.47Q2 2026: $1.36Q3 2026: $1.21Forward: $1.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.98+63%
Q3 2026$1.21+33%
Q2 2026$1.36+$1.81
Q1 2026$1.47+$1.58
Q4 2025$1.28+$1.80
Q3 2025$0.91+107%
Q2 2025-$0.45-117%
Q1 2025-$0.11-103%
Q4 2024-$0.52-110%

WGO has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over WGO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WGO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $763MQ1 2024: $704MQ2 2024: $786MQ3 2024: $721MQ4 2024: $626MQ1 2025: $620MQ2 2025: $775MQ3 2025: $777MQ4 2025: $703MQ1 2026: $657MQ2 2026: $699MQ3 2026: $645M
Q4 2023: $763MQ1 2024: $704MQ2 2024: $786MQ3 2024: $721MQ4 2024: $626MQ1 2025: $620MQ2 2025: $775MQ3 2025: $777MQ4 2025: $703MQ1 2026: $657MQ2 2026: $699MQ3 2026: $645M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$645.1M-17%
Q2 2026$698.7M-9.9%
Q1 2026$657.4M+6%
Q4 2025$702.7M+12%
Q3 2025$777.3M+7.8%
Q2 2025$775.1M-1.4%
Q1 2025$620.2M-12%
Q4 2024$625.6M-18%

WGO's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $645M last quarter, down 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

WGO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: −$36MQ3 2025: $171MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: −$29MQ2 2026: $19MQ3 2026: $135M
Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $88MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: −$36MQ3 2025: $171MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: −$29MQ2 2026: $19MQ3 2026: $135M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$135.2M-21%
Q2 2026$18.7M+$54.8M
Q1 2026-$29.1M-$10.2M
Q4 2025$19.8M+$46.5M
Q3 2025$171.2M+480%
Q2 2025-$36.1M-141%
Q1 2025-$18.9M-233%
Q4 2024-$26.7M+$6.5M

WGO has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

WGO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 28MQ3 2026: 28M
Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 28MQ3 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.4%+100K shares
3 years-20%-7M shares
5 years-17%-5.7M shares
Available history-12%-3.9M shares

WGO has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

WGO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 6.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: 6.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20263.0xModerate
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20256.5xHigh
Q1 20255.2xHigh
Q4 20243.6xElevated

WGO's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

WGO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.5Neutral
Stochastic72.5Neutral

WGO's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WGO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricWGOSector medianRelative
PE26x18x42% above
PE %824735 pts above

WGO is trading at 26x earnings, a 42% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

WGO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$27.812% above
20 week MA$29.35.8% above
50 week MA$33.88.2% below
100 week MA$35.112% below
200 week MA$48.636% below

WGO has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

WGO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$53.2$65.3+23%
2021$65.3$71.2+8.9%
2022$71.2$53.3-25%
2023$53.3$72.9+37%
2024$72.9$46.9-36%
2025$46.9$41.9-11%
2026 YTD$41.9$31.0-26%

WGO has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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