LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VSXY

Victoria's Secret & Company

60
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

VSXY has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VSXY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

VSXY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VSXY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$30.32-71%
Fair14x$60.95-42%
Forward20x$105—
Current23x$105—
Expensive24x$108+3.3%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VSXY's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VSXY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VSXY, with profitability improving.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails VSXY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VSXY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+71%$178.92
Downside-28%$75.58

Calculated from the latest close: $104.63 on Nov 12.

VSXY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

VSXY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.16Q1 2024: $1.39Q2 2024: $1.33Q3 2024: $1.75Q4 2024: $1.96Q1 2025: $2.05Q2 2025: $2.08Q3 2025: $1.88Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $1.93Q2 2026: $2.51Q3 2026: $4.49Forward: $5.24
Q4 2023: $1.16Q1 2024: $1.39Q2 2024: $1.33Q3 2024: $1.75Q4 2024: $1.96Q1 2025: $2.05Q2 2025: $2.08Q3 2025: $1.88Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $1.93Q2 2026: $2.51Q3 2026: $4.49Forward: $5.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.24+17%
Q3 2026$4.49+139%
Q2 2026$2.51+21%
Q1 2026$1.93-5.9%
Q4 2025$2.13+8.7%
Q3 2025$1.88+7.4%
Q2 2025$2.08+56%
Q1 2025$2.05+47%
Q4 2024$1.96+69%

VSXY has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over VSXY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VSXY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+10%
Q2 2026$1.6B+15%
Q1 2026$2.3B+7.7%
Q4 2025$1.5B+9.3%
Q3 2025$1.5B+3%
Q2 2025$1.4B-0.4%
Q1 2025$2.1B+1.1%
Q4 2024$1.3B+6.5%

VSXY's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.6B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

VSXY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$261MQ1 2024: $557MQ2 2024: −$155MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: −$299MQ1 2025: $646MQ2 2025: −$193MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: −$232MQ1 2026: $649MQ2 2026: −$191MQ3 2026: $328M
Q4 2023: −$261MQ1 2024: $557MQ2 2024: −$155MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: −$299MQ1 2025: $646MQ2 2025: −$193MQ3 2025: $88MQ4 2025: −$232MQ1 2026: $649MQ2 2026: −$191MQ3 2026: $328M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$328M+273%
Q2 2026-$191M+$2M
Q1 2026$649M+0.5%
Q4 2025-$232M+$67M
Q3 2025$88M+60%
Q2 2025-$193M-$38M
Q1 2025$646M+16%
Q4 2024-$299M-$38M

VSXY has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

VSXY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 77MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
Q4 2023: 77MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-1M shares
1 year+2.4%+2M shares
3 years+9.1%+7M shares
5 years-4.9%-4.4M shares

VSXY has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VSXY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20242.2xModerate

VSXY's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

VSXY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.4Neutral
Stochastic83.0Overbought

VSXY's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VSXY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVSXYSector medianRelative
PE23x18x29% above
PE %825527 pts above

VSXY is trading at 23x earnings, a 29% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

VSXY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$93.112% above
20 week MA$87.220% above
50 week MA$69.251% above
100 week MA$47.9119% above
200 week MA$36.4188% above

VSXY has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

VSXY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$42.1$49.1+17%
2022$49.1$40.4-18%
2023$40.4$26.5-34%
2024$26.5$42.3+59%
2025$42.3$53.8+27%
2026 YTD$53.8$104.6+94%

VSXY has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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