LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VNCE
Vince Holding Corp.
VNCE has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
VNCE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
VNCE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VNCE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 1.2x | $0.70 | -95% |
| Fair | 8.6x | $4.91 | -62% |
| Expensive | 22x | $12.74 | -1.3% |
| Current | 23x | $12.91 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VNCE's PE is in its expensive range at 23x.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
VNCE Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for VNCE to show an outlook.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
VNCE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.57 | +$1.92 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.70 | +$2.93 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.49 | +$2.00 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.48 | -500% |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.35 | -1327% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.23 | -192% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.51 | -174% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.37 | -76% |
VNCE has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over VNCE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
VNCE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $81.8M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $64M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $83.7M | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $85.1M | +6.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $73.2M | -1.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $57.9M | -2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $80M | +6.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $80.2M | -4.7% |
VNCE's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $82M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | -4.1% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.5% | +34 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.4% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +14 points |
| Q2 2025 | -7.7% | -17 points |
| Q1 2025 | -37% | -35 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.2% | +3.8 points |
VNCE has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
VNCE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $17.4M | +730% |
| Q2 2026 | -$9.1M | +$4.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $15.5M | -27% |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.7M | -211% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1M | +$6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$13.2M | -$8.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $21.2M | +49% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.1M | -21% |
VNCE has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
VNCE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.7% | +343K shares |
| 1 year | +1.8% | +231K shares |
| 3 years | +5.7% | +710K shares |
| 5 years | +11% | +1.3M shares |
| Available history | +10% | +1.2M shares |
VNCE has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
VNCE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 4.4x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2023 | 1.7x | Healthy |
VNCE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.4 years a year ago.
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
VNCE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 67.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.2 | Overbought |
VNCE's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VNCE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | VNCE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 18x | 26% above |
| PE % | 85 | 47 | 38 pts above |
VNCE is trading at 23x earnings, a 26% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
VNCE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.8 | 9.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.76 | 47% above |
| 50 week MA | $5.72 | 126% above |
| 100 week MA | $4.03 | 220% above |
| 200 week MA | $3.58 | 261% above |
VNCE has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.
VNCE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $17.7 | $5.26 | -70% |
| 2021 | $5.26 | $8.50 | +62% |
| 2022 | $8.50 | $7.72 | -9.2% |
| 2023 | $7.72 | $3.46 | -55% |
| 2024 | $3.46 | $4.02 | +16% |
| 2025 | $4.02 | $4.39 | +9.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.39 | $12.9 | +194% |
VNCE has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.