LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VIPS

Vipshop Holdings Limited

52
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VIPS has a slight edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VIPS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

VIPS's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VIPS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.0x18x27x36x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.0x18x27x36x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current4.1x$12.94—
Cheap6.8x$21.18+64%
Fair9.1x$28.63+121%
Expensive18x$57.81+347%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VIPS's PE is 4.1x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VIPS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect VIPS's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VIPS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VIPS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$16.03
Downside-19%$10.46

Calculated from the latest close: $12.94 on Nov 12.

VIPS trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

VIPS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.91Q4 2023: $2.17Q1 2024: $2.32Q2 2024: $2.28Q3 2024: $2.25Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.99Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $2.24Q2 2026: $3.13
Q3 2023: $1.91Q4 2023: $2.17Q1 2024: $2.32Q2 2024: $2.28Q3 2024: $2.25Q4 2024: $2.15Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.99Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $2.13Q1 2026: $2.24Q2 2026: $3.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.13+57%
Q1 2026$2.24+7.7%
Q4 2025$2.13-0.9%
Q3 2025$2.06-8.4%
Q2 2025$1.99-13%
Q1 2025$2.08-10%
Q4 2024$2.15-0.9%
Q3 2024$2.25+18%

VIPS has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over VIPS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIPS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3.4BQ4 2023: $5.2BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.7B
Q3 2023: $3.4BQ4 2023: $5.2BQ1 2024: $4.1BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.7B-3.9%
Q1 2026$4B+0.6%
Q4 2025$4.9B-2.3%
Q3 2025$3.2B+3.4%
Q2 2025$3.9B-4%
Q1 2025$3.9B-5%
Q4 2024$5B-4.2%
Q3 2024$3.1B-9.2%

VIPS's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.7B last quarter, down 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has the edge over VIPS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIPS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

VIPS's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since mid-2020: $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

VIPS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 552MQ4 2023: 552MQ1 2024: 555MQ2 2024: 554MQ3 2024: 554MQ4 2024: 522MQ1 2025: 522MQ2 2025: 512MQ3 2025: 505MQ4 2025: 505MQ1 2026: 493MQ2 2026: 488M
Q3 2023: 552MQ4 2023: 552MQ1 2024: 555MQ2 2024: 554MQ3 2024: 554MQ4 2024: 522MQ1 2025: 522MQ2 2025: 512MQ3 2025: 505MQ4 2025: 505MQ1 2026: 493MQ2 2026: 488M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-4.6M shares
1 year-4.6%-23.7M shares
3 years-13%-71M shares
5 years-30%-213M shares
Available history-28%-187M shares

VIPS has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VIPS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.7xQ4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -1.8xQ2 2024: -1.5xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.2xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.1x
Q3 2023: -1.7xQ4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -1.8xQ2 2024: -1.5xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -2.1xQ1 2025: -2.2xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.3xNet Cash

VIPS has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

VIPS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.1Neutral
Stochastic32.5Neutral

VIPS's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VIPS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVIPSSector medianRelative
PE4.1x18x77% below
PE %14746 pts below

VIPS is trading at 4.1x earnings, a 77% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

VIPS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.80.8% above
20 week MA$13.54.1% below
50 week MA$15.114% below
100 week MA$15.516% below
200 week MA$15.416% below

VIPS has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

VIPS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.5$26.3+81%
2021$26.3$8.46-68%
2022$8.46$13.5+59%
2023$13.5$17.8+32%
2024$17.8$13.3-25%
2025$13.3$19.5+46%
2026 YTD$19.5$12.9-34%

VIPS has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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