LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VIK

Viking Holdings Ltd

64
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VIK has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

VIK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Unavailable
Healthy

VIK's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VIK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x70x104x139x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x70x104x139x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward22x$88.88—
Current29x$88.88—
Cheap31x$92.52+4.1%
Fair34x$102+15%
Expensive46x$139+56%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VIK's PE is in its cheap range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VIK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VIK, with profitability improving.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VIK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VIK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$111.31
Downside-19%$72.42

Calculated from the latest close: $88.88 on Nov 12.

VIK trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

VIK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-2.48Q4 2023: $-4.31Q1 2024: $-6.04Q2 2024: $-6.11Q3 2024: $-2.38Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.85Q3 2025: $2.14Q4 2025: $2.57Q1 2026: $2.69Q2 2026: $3.02Forward: $4.00
Q3 2023: $-2.48Q4 2023: $-4.31Q1 2024: $-6.04Q2 2024: $-6.11Q3 2024: $-2.38Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.85Q3 2025: $2.14Q4 2025: $2.57Q1 2026: $2.69Q2 2026: $3.02Forward: $4.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.00+33%
Q2 2026$3.02+63%
Q1 2026$2.69+119%
Q4 2025$2.57+$3.33
Q3 2025$2.14+$4.52
Q2 2025$1.85+$7.96
Q1 2025$1.23+$7.27
Q4 2024-$0.76+$3.55
Q3 2024-$2.38+$0.10

VIK has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over VIK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

VIK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.5BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $718MQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $897MQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $2.2B
Q3 2023: $1.5BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $718MQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $897MQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$2.2B+16%
Q1 2026$1.1B+17%
Q4 2025$1.7B+28%
Q3 2025$2B+19%
Q2 2025$1.9B+18%
Q1 2025$897.1M+25%
Q4 2024$1.3B+21%
Q3 2024$1.7B+11%

VIK's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2023: $2.2B last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

VIK has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 68% versus its history, compared with LCID at down 75%.

VIK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $395MQ4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $263MQ3 2024: $715MQ4 2024: −$180MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: −$397M
Q3 2023: $395MQ4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $263MQ3 2024: $715MQ4 2024: −$180MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: $152MQ2 2026: −$397M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2024-$179.9M-2765%
Q3 2024$714.5M+81%
Q2 2024$262.9M+196%
Q1 2024$367M+269%
Q4 2023$6.8M+$150.2M

VIK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$397M, but it generated $289M over the past year.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

VIK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 431MQ4 2023: 431MQ1 2024: 222MQ2 2024: 367MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 440MQ1 2025: 443MQ2 2025: 446MQ3 2025: 447MQ4 2025: 446MQ1 2026: 446MQ2 2026: 448M
Q3 2023: 431MQ4 2023: 431MQ1 2024: 222MQ2 2024: 367MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 440MQ1 2025: 443MQ2 2025: 446MQ3 2025: 447MQ4 2025: 446MQ1 2026: 446MQ2 2026: 448M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+2.2M shares
1 year+0.6%+2.5M shares
3 years+3.9%+16.6M shares

VIK has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

VIK Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 21.7xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.1x
Q3 2024: 21.7xQ4 2024: 4.0xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 20244.0xElevated
Q3 202421.7xHigh

VIK's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

VIK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.5Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

VIK's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VIK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricVIKSector medianRelative
PE29x18x63% above
PE %102414 pts below

VIK is trading at 29x earnings, a 63% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

VIK has stronger trend alignment. LCID is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus VIK above 3 of 4.

VIK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$84.05.8% above
20 week MA$90.72% below
50 week MA$83.26.8% above
100 week MA$67.532% above

VIK's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 32% above its 100-week average.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

VIK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$29.0$44.4+53%
2025$44.4$73.3+65%
2026 YTD$73.3$88.9+21%

VIK has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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