LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

URBN

Urban Outfitters, Inc.

65
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

URBN has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

URBN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

URBN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

URBN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1026x2053x3079x4106x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1026x2053x3079x4106x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$64.55-24%
Fair13x$85.87+1.3%
Current13x$84.80—
Forward13x$84.80—
Expensive16x$102+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

URBN's PE is in its fair range at 13.3x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12.8x next year's earnings.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

URBN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for URBN, with profitability improving.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails URBN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

URBN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$115.70
Downside-19%$68.75

Calculated from the latest close: $84.80 on Nov 12.

URBN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

URBN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.87Q1 2024: $3.05Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $3.50Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.77Q3 2025: $5.11Q4 2025: $5.29Q1 2026: $5.06Q2 2026: $5.20Q3 2026: $6.40Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $2.87Q1 2024: $3.05Q2 2024: $3.14Q3 2024: $3.28Q4 2024: $3.50Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.77Q3 2025: $5.11Q4 2025: $5.29Q1 2026: $5.06Q2 2026: $5.20Q3 2026: $6.40Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+3.6%
Q3 2026$6.40+25%
Q2 2026$5.20+9%
Q1 2026$5.06+19%
Q4 2025$5.29+51%
Q3 2025$5.11+56%
Q2 2025$4.77+52%
Q1 2025$4.26+40%
Q4 2024$3.50+22%

URBN has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over URBN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

URBN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+10%
Q2 2026$1.5B+11%
Q1 2026$1.8B+10%
Q4 2025$1.5B+12%
Q3 2025$1.5B+11%
Q2 2025$1.3B+11%
Q1 2025$1.6B+10%
Q4 2024$1.4B+6.3%

URBN's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $1.7B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

URBN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: $282MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: $157MQ4 2025: −$23MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: −$178MQ3 2026: $301M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $17MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: −$27MQ1 2025: $282MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: $157MQ4 2025: −$23MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: −$178MQ3 2026: $301M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$301.4M+92%
Q2 2026-$177.8M-$164.6M
Q1 2026$194.3M-31%
Q4 2025-$22.8M+$3.9M
Q3 2025$156.6M+230%
Q2 2025-$13.1M-175%
Q1 2025$281.9M+56%
Q4 2024-$26.7M-$23.1M

URBN has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

URBN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 94MQ2 2024: 95MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 94MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 91MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 89MQ3 2026: 87M
Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 94MQ2 2024: 95MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 94MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 91MQ4 2025: 91MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 89MQ3 2026: 87M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-2.1M shares
1 year-4.9%-4.5M shares
3 years-8%-7.6M shares
5 years-13%-12.9M shares
Available history-12%-12M shares

URBN has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

URBN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

URBN has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

URBN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.4Neutral
Stochastic68.5Neutral

URBN's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

URBN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricURBNSector medianRelative
PE13x18x26% below
PE %4747Same percentile

URBN is trading at 13x earnings, a 26% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

URBN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$84.01% above
20 week MA$78.77.8% above
50 week MA$74.314% above
100 week MA$68.723% above
200 week MA$52.562% above

URBN has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

URBN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.8$26.8-3.6%
2021$26.8$29.1+8.8%
2022$29.1$24.1-17%
2023$24.1$35.7+48%
2024$35.7$55.8+56%
2025$55.8$77.1+38%
2026 YTD$77.1$84.8+10%

URBN has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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