LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over UA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

UA

Under Armour, Inc.

44
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

UA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

UA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

UA's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UA PE Valuation

UA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 42x next year's earnings.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect UA to return to profit, with revenue holding steady.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$6.86
Downside-31%$3.27

Calculated from the latest close: $4.74 on Nov 12.

UA trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID has the edge over UA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $0.54Q2 2024: $-0.18Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $-0.29Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $-0.21Q4 2025: $-1.22Q1 2026: $-1.16Q2 2026: $-1.15Q3 2026: $-1.11Forward: $0.11
Q4 2023: $0.88Q1 2024: $0.54Q2 2024: $-0.18Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $-0.29Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $0.22Q3 2025: $-0.21Q4 2025: $-1.22Q1 2026: $-1.16Q2 2026: $-1.15Q3 2026: $-1.11Forward: $0.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.11—
Q3 2026-$1.11-$0.90
Q2 2026-$1.15-623%
Q1 2026-$1.16-$0.69
Q4 2025-$1.22-$0.93
Q3 2025-$0.21-$0.18
Q2 2025$0.22+$0.40
Q1 2025-$0.47-187%
Q4 2024-$0.29-133%

UA is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $1.11 per share over the past year, against $1.64 at its worst in late 2020.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over UA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-6.9%
Q2 2026$1.1B-3.2%
Q1 2026$1.2B-0.8%
Q4 2025$1.3B-5.2%
Q3 2025$1.3B-4.7%
Q2 2025$1.1B-4.2%
Q1 2025$1.2B-11%
Q4 2024$1.4B-5.7%

UA's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

UA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $380MQ1 2024: −$157MQ2 2024: $107MQ3 2024: −$367MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: −$231MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: −$90MQ4 2025: $262MQ1 2026: −$347MQ2 2026: $95MQ3 2026: −$102M
Q4 2023: $380MQ1 2024: −$157MQ2 2024: $107MQ3 2024: −$367MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: −$231MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: −$90MQ4 2025: $262MQ1 2026: −$347MQ2 2026: $95MQ3 2026: −$102M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$101.7M-$11.4M
Q2 2026$94.5M+601%
Q1 2026-$347.3M-$116.3M
Q4 2025$261.9M-0.4%
Q3 2025-$90.3M+$276.9M
Q2 2025$13.5M-87%
Q1 2025-$231M-$74.3M
Q4 2024$262.9M-31%

UA has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

UA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 448MQ1 2024: 451MQ2 2024: 436MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 437MQ1 2025: 432MQ2 2025: 427MQ3 2025: 428MQ4 2025: 425MQ1 2026: 427MQ2 2026: 432MQ3 2026: 430M
Q4 2023: 448MQ1 2024: 451MQ2 2024: 436MQ3 2024: 436MQ4 2024: 437MQ1 2025: 432MQ2 2025: 427MQ3 2025: 428MQ4 2025: 425MQ1 2026: 427MQ2 2026: 432MQ3 2026: 430M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-2.3M shares
1 year+0.3%+1.3M shares
3 years-5.3%-24M shares
5 years-9.2%-43.4M shares
Available history-5.4%-24.6M shares

UA has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

UA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -5.6xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: -8.2xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 9.0x
Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -5.6xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: -8.2xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 9.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20259.0xHigh
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q4 2024-8.2xNet Cash
Q3 20240.8xVery low
Q2 2024-5.6xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 20230.1xVery low

UA's net debt is about 9.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

UA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic30.4Neutral

UA's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricUASector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

UA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

UA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.700.9% above
20 week MA$5.3812% below
50 week MA$5.6416% below
100 week MA$5.7518% below
200 week MA$6.6429% below

UA has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

UA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.3$15.1-22%
2021$15.1$17.6+17%
2022$17.6$8.60-51%
2023$8.60$8.35-2.9%
2024$8.35$7.56-9.5%
2025$7.56$4.43-41%
2026 YTD$4.43$4.74+7%

UA has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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