LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over TRIP overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

TRIP

Tripadvisor, Inc.

34
Fundamentals29/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

TRIP has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TRIP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

TRIP's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TRIP PE Valuation

TRIP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TRIP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TRIP's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TRIP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TRIP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$10.94
Downside-34%$4.75

Calculated from the latest close: $7.25 on Nov 12.

TRIP trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID has the edge over TRIP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TRIP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.17Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $0.04Q1 2025: $0.39Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.66Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.02Q3 2026: $-3.07Forward: $0.61
Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.17Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $0.04Q1 2025: $0.39Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.66Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.02Q3 2026: $-3.07Forward: $0.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.61—
Q3 2026-$3.07-565%
Q2 2026$0.02-96%
Q1 2026$0.11-72%
Q4 2025$0.31+675%
Q3 2025$0.66+164%
Q2 2025$0.50+194%
Q1 2025$0.39+129%
Q4 2024$0.04-50%

TRIP has swung to a loss: it lost $3.07 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over TRIP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TRIP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $390MQ1 2024: $395MQ2 2024: $497MQ3 2024: $532MQ4 2024: $411MQ1 2025: $398MQ2 2025: $529MQ3 2025: $553MQ4 2025: $411MQ1 2026: $382MQ2 2026: $442MQ3 2026: $436M
Q4 2023: $390MQ1 2024: $395MQ2 2024: $497MQ3 2024: $532MQ4 2024: $411MQ1 2025: $398MQ2 2025: $529MQ3 2025: $553MQ4 2025: $411MQ1 2026: $382MQ2 2026: $442MQ3 2026: $436M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$436.4M-21%
Q2 2026$441.9M-16%
Q1 2026$382.4M-3.9%
Q4 2025$411M0%
Q3 2025$553M+3.9%
Q2 2025$529M+6.4%
Q1 2025$398M+0.8%
Q4 2024$411M+5.4%

TRIP's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $436M last quarter, down 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

TRIP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$35MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: −$63MQ4 2024: −$26MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $177MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: −$122MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: −$137M
Q4 2023: −$35MQ1 2024: $123MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: −$63MQ4 2024: −$26MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $177MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: −$122MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: −$137M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$136.7M-647%
Q2 2026$137.7M-22%
Q1 2026$101.3M+22%
Q4 2025-$122M-$96M
Q3 2025$25M+$88M
Q2 2025$177M+392%
Q1 2025$83M-33%
Q4 2024-$26M+$9M

TRIP has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

TRIP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 138MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 144MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 130MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 115MQ2 2026: 118MQ3 2026: 118M
Q4 2023: 145MQ1 2024: 138MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 144MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 141MQ2 2025: 130MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 115MQ2 2026: 118MQ3 2026: 118M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-384K shares
1 year-5%-6.2M shares
3 years-18%-25.8M shares
5 years-19%-27M shares
Available history-16%-23.2M shares

TRIP has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TRIP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.3xNet Cash

TRIP has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

TRIP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

TRIP's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TRIP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTRIPSector medianRelative
PE461x18x2,458% above
PE %964749 pts above

TRIP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

TRIP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.4714% below
20 week MA$10.430% below
50 week MA$11.336% below
100 week MA$13.446% below
200 week MA$16.055% below

TRIP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 55% below its 200-week average.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

TRIP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.3$26.0-14%
2021$26.0$27.3+4.8%
2022$27.3$17.9-35%
2023$17.9$21.5+21%
2024$21.5$14.6-32%
2025$14.6$14.1-3.2%
2026 YTD$14.1$7.25-49%

TRIP has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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