LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TPR

Tapestry, Inc.

71
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

TPR has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TPR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

TPR's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TPR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x148x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x148x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$79.97-40%
Fair13x$104-22%
Forward16x$133—
Current17x$133—
Expensive39x$303+128%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TPR's PE is in its fair range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TPR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TPR, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails TPR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TPR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$204.34
Downside-13%$116.05

Calculated from the latest close: $132.63 on Nov 12.

TPR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

TPR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.96Q1 2024: $3.78Q2 2024: $3.50Q3 2024: $3.45Q4 2024: $3.44Q1 2025: $3.79Q2 2025: $0.82Q3 2025: $1.31Q4 2025: $2.61Q1 2026: $3.31Q2 2026: $7.27Q3 2026: $7.75Forward: $8.46
Q4 2023: $3.96Q1 2024: $3.78Q2 2024: $3.50Q3 2024: $3.45Q4 2024: $3.44Q1 2025: $3.79Q2 2025: $0.82Q3 2025: $1.31Q4 2025: $2.61Q1 2026: $3.31Q2 2026: $7.27Q3 2026: $7.75Forward: $8.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.46+9.2%
Q3 2026$7.75+492%
Q2 2026$7.27+787%
Q1 2026$3.31-13%
Q4 2025$2.61-24%
Q3 2025$1.31-62%
Q2 2025$0.82-77%
Q1 2025$3.79+0.3%
Q4 2024$3.44-13%

TPR has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over TPR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TPR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B+11%
Q2 2026$1.9B+8.9%
Q1 2026$1.9B+21%
Q4 2025$2.5B+14%
Q3 2025$1.7B+13%
Q2 2025$1.7B+8.3%
Q1 2025$1.6B+6.9%
Q4 2024$2.2B+5.3%

TPR's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $1.9B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

TPR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $804MQ1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: $210MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $475MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $80MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $226MQ2 2026: $469MQ3 2026: $149M
Q4 2023: $804MQ1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: $210MQ3 2024: $94MQ4 2024: $475MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $412MQ3 2025: $80MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $226MQ2 2026: $469MQ3 2026: $149M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$149M+86%
Q2 2026$469M+14%
Q1 2026$225.8M+99%
Q4 2025$1B+118%
Q3 2025$80.2M-15%
Q2 2025$411.5M+96%
Q1 2025$113.4M+44%
Q4 2024$475.1M-41%

TPR has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

TPR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 232MQ1 2024: 234MQ2 2024: 233MQ3 2024: 236MQ4 2024: 225MQ1 2025: 214MQ2 2025: 223MQ3 2025: 216MQ4 2025: 210MQ1 2026: 208MQ2 2026: 210MQ3 2026: 205M
Q4 2023: 232MQ1 2024: 234MQ2 2024: 233MQ3 2024: 236MQ4 2024: 225MQ1 2025: 214MQ2 2025: 223MQ3 2025: 216MQ4 2025: 210MQ1 2026: 208MQ2 2026: 210MQ3 2026: 205M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-5.7M shares
1 year-5.1%-11M shares
3 years-12%-28M shares
5 years-28%-80.7M shares
Available history-26%-72.2M shares

TPR has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TPR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20253.0xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

TPR's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.0 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

TPR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.7Neutral
Stochastic32.5Neutral

TPR's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TPR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTPRSector medianRelative
PE17x18x5% below
PE %654718 pts above

TPR is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

TPR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$120.110% above
20 week MA$129.22.6% above
50 week MA$135.52.1% below
100 week MA$112.018% above
200 week MA$76.673% above

TPR has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

TPR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.9$30.9+15%
2021$30.9$41.3+34%
2022$41.3$37.4-9.3%
2023$37.4$36.8-1.6%
2024$36.8$65.9+79%
2025$65.9$131.3+99%
2026 YTD$131.3$132.6+1%

TPR has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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