LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TMUS, with profitability improving.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over TMUS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $23.6B last quarter, up 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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