LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has a slight edge over THO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

THO

Thor Industries, Inc.

50
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

THO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

THO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

THO's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

THO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.3x17x25x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.3x17x25x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.6x$18.83-76%
Fair19x$63.46-18%
Forward20x$77.29—
Expensive23x$78.24+1.2%
Current23x$77.29—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

THO's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

THO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for THO, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than THO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

THO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$89.48
Downside-34%$50.84

Calculated from the latest close: $77.29 on Nov 12.

THO trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

THO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.41Q1 2024: $5.04Q2 2024: $4.93Q3 2024: $4.94Q4 2024: $3.92Q1 2025: $3.78Q2 2025: $4.18Q3 2025: $4.84Q4 2025: $5.28Q1 2026: $5.63Q2 2026: $4.96Q3 2026: $3.38Forward: $3.92
Q4 2023: $5.41Q1 2024: $5.04Q2 2024: $4.93Q3 2024: $4.94Q4 2024: $3.92Q1 2025: $3.78Q2 2025: $4.18Q3 2025: $4.84Q4 2025: $5.28Q1 2026: $5.63Q2 2026: $4.96Q3 2026: $3.38Forward: $3.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.92+16%
Q3 2026$3.38-30%
Q2 2026$4.96+19%
Q1 2026$5.63+49%
Q4 2025$5.28+35%
Q3 2025$4.84-2%
Q2 2025$4.18-15%
Q1 2025$3.78-25%
Q4 2024$3.92-28%

THO has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over THO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

THO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B-8.4%
Q2 2026$2.8B-3.9%
Q1 2026$2.1B+5.3%
Q4 2025$2.4B+11%
Q3 2025$2.5B-0.4%
Q2 2025$2.9B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B-8.6%
Q4 2024$2.1B-14%

THO's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $2.3B last quarter, down 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

THO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: −$140MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $301MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $223MQ3 2025: $222MQ4 2025: −$75MQ1 2026: −$145MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $190M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: −$140MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $301MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $223MQ3 2025: $222MQ4 2025: −$75MQ1 2026: −$145MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $190M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$189.9M-14%
Q2 2026$196M-12%
Q1 2026-$145.2M-2588%
Q4 2025-$74.8M-1270%
Q3 2025$221.6M-26%
Q2 2025$222.5M-1.3%
Q1 2025$5.8M+$146.1M
Q4 2024$6.4M-67%

THO has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

THO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 53M
Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 53M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+163K shares
1 year-1.6%-838K shares
3 years-2.4%-1.3M shares
5 years-5.6%-3.1M shares
Available history-4.8%-2.7M shares

THO has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

THO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20250.7xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

THO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

THO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic65.0Neutral

THO's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 65 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

THO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTHOSector medianRelative
PE23x18x27% above
PE %824735 pts above

THO is trading at 23x earnings, a 27% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

THO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$72.07.3% above
20 week MA$74.34% above
50 week MA$84.68.7% below
100 week MA$89.213% below
200 week MA$94.819% below

THO has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

THO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$74.4$102.4+38%
2021$102.4$100.9-1.5%
2022$100.9$77.3-23%
2023$77.3$118.3+53%
2024$118.3$95.4-19%
2025$95.4$106.2+11%
2026 YTD$106.2$77.3-27%

THO has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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