LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over THCH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

THCH

TH International Limited

38
Fundamentals32/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

THCH has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

THCH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

THCH's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

THCH PE Valuation

THCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

THCH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect THCH's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than THCH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

THCH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$1.92
Downside-35%$0.80

Calculated from the latest close: $1.24 on Nov 12.

THCH trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

THCH Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-4.75Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.01Q2 2024: $-3.10Q3 2024: $-2.75Q4 2024: $-1.91Q1 2025: $-1.50Q2 2025: $-1.63Q3 2025: $-1.56Q4 2025: $-1.99Q1 2026: $-2.23Q2 2026: $-2.33
Q3 2023: $-4.75Q4 2023: $-4.53Q1 2024: $-4.01Q2 2024: $-3.10Q3 2024: $-2.75Q4 2024: $-1.91Q1 2025: $-1.50Q2 2025: $-1.63Q3 2025: $-1.56Q4 2025: $-1.99Q1 2026: $-2.23Q2 2026: $-2.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$2.33-$0.70
Q1 2026-$2.23-$0.73
Q4 2025-$1.99-$0.08
Q3 2025-$1.56+$1.19
Q2 2025-$1.63+$1.47
Q1 2025-$1.50+$2.51
Q4 2024-$1.91+$2.62
Q3 2024-$2.75+$2.00

THCH is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.33 per share over the past year, against $5.40 at its worst in mid-2023.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over THCH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

THCH Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $65MQ4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $41M
Q3 2023: $65MQ4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $41M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.9M-22%
Q1 2026$38.3M-15%
Q4 2025$45.7M-8.5%
Q3 2025$53.7M-0.4%
Q2 2025$52.4M-4.9%
Q1 2025$45.1M-9.5%
Q4 2024$49.9M-15%
Q3 2024$54M-17%

THCH's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $41M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

THCH Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: −$56MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$32,866Q2 2025: −$176,334Q3 2025: −$257,072Q4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $5M
Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: −$56MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$32,866Q2 2025: −$176,334Q3 2025: −$257,072Q4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$5.1M+$5.3M
Q1 2026-$3.5M-$3.5M
Q4 2025-$11.3M-$6.5M
Q3 2025-$257.1K+$1.7M
Q2 2025-$176.3K-104%
Q1 2025-$32.9K+$4M
Q4 2024-$4.7M+$51.2M
Q3 2024-$2M+$2.6M

THCH has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

THCH Total Shares

Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33M
Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%-4.3K shares
3 years+6.7%+2M shares
5 years+21%+5.6M shares
Available history+21%+5.6M shares

THCH has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

THCH Net Leverage

THCH's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

THCH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.7Neutral
Stochastic33.1Neutral

THCH's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

THCH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

THCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

THCH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.176% above
20 week MA$1.4011% below
50 week MA$1.7931% below
100 week MA$2.3247% below
200 week MA$6.0780% below

THCH has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

THCH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$49.1$48.9-0.4%
2022$48.9$15.7-68%
2023$15.7$8.75-44%
2024$8.75$3.73-57%
2025$3.73$2.19-41%
2026 YTD$2.19$1.24-43%

THCH has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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