LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over TDUP overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

TDUP

ThredUp Inc.

44
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

TDUP offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TDUP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

TDUP's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TDUP PE Valuation

TDUP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TDUP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TDUP's losses to grow, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails TDUP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TDUP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+95%$2.93
Downside-49%$0.77

Calculated from the latest close: $1.50 on Nov 12.

TDUP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

TDUP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.68Q1 2024: $-0.64Q2 2024: $-0.59Q3 2024: $-0.64Q4 2024: $-0.69Q1 2025: $-0.58Q2 2025: $-0.49Q3 2025: $-0.30Q4 2025: $-0.17Q1 2026: $-0.18Q2 2026: $-0.19Q3 2026: $-0.20
Q4 2023: $-0.68Q1 2024: $-0.64Q2 2024: $-0.59Q3 2024: $-0.64Q4 2024: $-0.69Q1 2025: $-0.58Q2 2025: $-0.49Q3 2025: $-0.30Q4 2025: $-0.17Q1 2026: $-0.18Q2 2026: $-0.19Q3 2026: $-0.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.20+$0.10
Q2 2026-$0.19+$0.30
Q1 2026-$0.18+$0.40
Q4 2025-$0.17+$0.52
Q3 2025-$0.30+$0.34
Q2 2025-$0.49+$0.10
Q1 2025-$0.58+$0.06
Q4 2024-$0.69-$0.01

TDUP has the edge over LCID on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over TDUP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TDUP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $80MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $80MQ1 2026: $82MQ2 2026: $91MQ3 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $81MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $80MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $80MQ1 2026: $82MQ2 2026: $91MQ3 2026: $88M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$88.2M+7.4%
Q2 2026$90.8M+17%
Q1 2026$81.7M+15%
Q4 2025$79.7M+188%
Q3 2025$82.2M+13%
Q2 2025$77.7M-2.6%
Q1 2025$71.3M-10%
Q4 2024$27.7M-66%

TDUP's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $88M last quarter, up 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

TDUP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: −$227,000Q2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $774,000Q4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $643,000Q2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $12,000
Q4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: −$227,000Q2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $774,000Q4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $643,000Q2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $12,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12K-99%
Q2 2026$1.8M+$4.7M
Q1 2026$643K-84%
Q4 2025-$3.2M-182%
Q3 2025$2.4M+207%
Q2 2025-$2.9M+$3.2M
Q1 2025$3.9M+$4.2M
Q4 2024$3.9M+$14.1M

TDUP has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

TDUP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 105MQ1 2024: 109MQ2 2024: 111MQ3 2024: 113MQ4 2024: 112MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 120MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 122MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 130MQ3 2026: 132M
Q4 2023: 105MQ1 2024: 109MQ2 2024: 111MQ3 2024: 113MQ4 2024: 112MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 120MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 122MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 130MQ3 2026: 132M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+2M shares
1 year+6.4%+7.9M shares
3 years+24%+25.9M shares
5 years+40%+37.4M shares
Available history+70%+54.3M shares

TDUP has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TDUP Net Leverage

Q3 2025: -2.2x
Q3 2025: -2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.2xNet Cash

TDUP has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

TDUP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.1Neutral
Stochastic5.4Oversold

TDUP's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TDUP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

TDUP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

TDUP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.0025% below
20 week MA$3.3655% below
50 week MA$4.3966% below
100 week MA$5.2772% below
200 week MA$3.6859% below

TDUP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 59% below its 200-week average.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has the edge over TDUP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TDUP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$20.0$13.3-34%
2022$13.3$1.34-90%
2023$1.34$2.25+68%
2024$2.25$1.39-38%
2025$1.39$6.23+348%
2026 YTD$6.23$1.50-76%

TDUP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +348% in 2025 to −90% in 2022. It's down 76% so far in 2026.

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