LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over SPWH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

SPWH

Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc.

45
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

SPWH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SPWH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

SPWH's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SPWH PE Valuation

SPWH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SPWH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SPWH's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SPWH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SPWH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$1.72
Downside-30%$0.85

Calculated from the latest close: $1.21 on Nov 12.

SPWH trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID has the edge over SPWH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SPWH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.28Q1 2024: $-0.77Q2 2024: $-0.83Q3 2024: $-0.90Q4 2024: $-0.85Q1 2025: $-0.87Q2 2025: $-0.95Q3 2025: $-0.97Q4 2025: $-0.98Q1 2026: $-1.30Q2 2026: $-1.30Q3 2026: $-1.23
Q4 2023: $-0.28Q1 2024: $-0.77Q2 2024: $-0.83Q3 2024: $-0.90Q4 2024: $-0.85Q1 2025: $-0.87Q2 2025: $-0.95Q3 2025: $-0.97Q4 2025: $-0.98Q1 2026: $-1.30Q2 2026: $-1.30Q3 2026: $-1.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.23-$0.26
Q2 2026-$1.30-$0.35
Q1 2026-$1.30-$0.43
Q4 2025-$0.98-$0.13
Q3 2025-$0.97-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.95-$0.12
Q1 2025-$0.87-$0.10
Q4 2024-$0.85-$0.57

SPWH lost $1.23 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over SPWH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SPWH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $341MQ1 2024: $370MQ2 2024: $244MQ3 2024: $289MQ4 2024: $324MQ1 2025: $340MQ2 2025: $249MQ3 2025: $294MQ4 2025: $331MQ1 2026: $335MQ2 2026: $256MQ3 2026: $296M
Q4 2023: $341MQ1 2024: $370MQ2 2024: $244MQ3 2024: $289MQ4 2024: $324MQ1 2025: $340MQ2 2025: $249MQ3 2025: $294MQ4 2025: $331MQ1 2026: $335MQ2 2026: $256MQ3 2026: $296M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$295.6M+0.6%
Q2 2026$256.1M+2.8%
Q1 2026$334.9M-1.6%
Q4 2025$331.3M+2.2%
Q3 2025$293.9M+1.8%
Q2 2025$249.1M+2%
Q1 2025$340.4M-8.1%
Q4 2024$324.3M-4.8%

SPWH's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $296M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

SPWH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $60MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: −$64MQ3 2025: −$34MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $98MQ2 2026: −$60MQ3 2026: −$16M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $60MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: $50MQ2 2025: −$64MQ3 2025: −$34MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $98MQ2 2026: −$60MQ3 2026: −$16M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$15.5M+$18.4M
Q2 2026-$59.6M+$4.4M
Q1 2026$98.1M+98%
Q4 2025$8.7M+$14.9M
Q3 2025-$33.9M-340%
Q2 2025-$64M-$26.1M
Q1 2025$49.6M-18%
Q4 2024-$6.2M-127%

SPWH has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

SPWH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 38MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+280K shares
1 year+1.7%+668K shares
3 years+4.1%+1.5M shares
5 years-13%-5.7M shares
Available history-10%-4.5M shares

SPWH has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SPWH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: 9.0xQ2 2024: 11.9xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 24.4xQ2 2026: 20.9xQ3 2026: 15.1x
Q4 2023: 5.1xQ1 2024: 9.0xQ2 2024: 11.9xQ3 2024: 1.8xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 24.4xQ2 2026: 20.9xQ3 2026: 15.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202615.1xHigh
Q2 202620.9xHigh
Q1 202624.4xHigh
Q4 20251.7xHealthy
Q3 20251.8xHealthy
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

SPWH's net debt is about 15 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.8 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SPWH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.2Neutral
Stochastic27.3Neutral

SPWH's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SPWH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSPWHSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

SPWH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

SPWH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.119% above
20 week MA$1.164.3% above
50 week MA$1.296.2% below
100 week MA$1.8535% below
200 week MA$3.1862% below

SPWH has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

SPWH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.04$17.9+123%
2021$17.9$11.5-36%
2022$11.5$9.13-21%
2023$9.13$4.26-53%
2024$4.26$2.65-38%
2025$2.65$1.36-49%
2026 YTD$1.36$1.21-11%

SPWH has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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