LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink, though they disagree widely on how much.

SON

Sonoco Products Company

52
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SON lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

SON's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SON PE Valuation

SON has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SON's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SON, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$61.25
Downside-20%$38.76

Calculated from the latest close: $48.69 on Nov 12.

SON trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

SON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.80Q1 2024: $3.96Q2 2024: $3.72Q3 2024: $2.91Q4 2024: $1.65Q1 2025: $1.54Q2 2025: $5.58Q3 2025: $6.30Q4 2025: $10.07Q1 2026: $10.20Q2 2026: $6.29Q3 2026: $-2.30Forward: $5.61
Q4 2023: $4.80Q1 2024: $3.96Q2 2024: $3.72Q3 2024: $2.91Q4 2024: $1.65Q1 2025: $1.54Q2 2025: $5.58Q3 2025: $6.30Q4 2025: $10.07Q1 2026: $10.20Q2 2026: $6.29Q3 2026: $-2.30Forward: $5.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.61—
Q3 2026-$2.30-137%
Q2 2026$6.29+13%
Q1 2026$10.20+562%
Q4 2025$10.07+510%
Q3 2025$6.30+116%
Q2 2025$5.58+50%
Q1 2025$1.54-61%
Q4 2024$1.65-66%

SON has swung to a loss: it lost $2.30 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over SON on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B-4.2%
Q2 2026$1.9B-1.3%
Q1 2026$1.7B-1.9%
Q4 2025$1.8B+30%
Q3 2025$2.1B+27%
Q2 2025$1.9B+18%
Q1 2025$1.7B+4.4%
Q4 2024$1.4B-17%

SON's revenue has held roughly level: $2B last quarter, down 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

SON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $158MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $71MQ4 2024: $274MQ1 2025: −$301MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $226MQ4 2025: $322MQ1 2026: −$430MQ2 2026: $237MQ3 2026: $222M
Q4 2023: $158MQ1 2024: $80MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $71MQ4 2024: $274MQ1 2025: −$301MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $226MQ4 2025: $322MQ1 2026: −$430MQ2 2026: $237MQ3 2026: $222M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$221.9M-1.6%
Q2 2026$236.9M+140%
Q1 2026-$430M-$129.3M
Q4 2025$322.3M+17%
Q3 2025$225.6M+220%
Q2 2025$98.6M+516%
Q1 2025-$300.8M-477%
Q4 2024$274.3M+74%

SON has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

SON Total Shares

Q4 2023: 99MQ1 2024: 99MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 99MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 100MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 100MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
Q4 2023: 99MQ1 2024: 99MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 99MQ1 2025: 99MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 100MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 100MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-279K shares
1 year-0.1%-146K shares
3 years+0.6%+590K shares
5 years+0.1%+77K shares
Available history-1.7%-1.7M shares

SON has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SON Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 9.3xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 5.3xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 5.6x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 9.3xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 5.3xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 5.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.6xHigh
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20255.3xHigh
Q2 20256.2xHigh
Q1 20259.3xHigh
Q4 20249.4xHigh

SON's net debt is about 5.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.3 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.6Neutral
Stochastic22.6Neutral

SON's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SON PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSONSector medianRelative
PE7.9x18x56% below
PE %154732 pts below

SON has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

SON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$49.51.6% below
20 week MA$53.18.2% below
50 week MA$51.35% below
100 week MA$48.30.9% above
200 week MA$52.36.8% below

SON has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

SON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$61.3$59.4-3.1%
2021$59.4$55.5-6.6%
2022$55.5$60.4+8.9%
2023$60.4$55.9-7.5%
2024$55.9$48.9-12%
2025$48.9$43.5-11%
2026 YTD$43.5$48.7+12%

SON has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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