LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SN

SharkNinja, Inc.

68
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

SN has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

SN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x53x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x53x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$155-29%
Forward30x$220—
Fair36x$214-2.8%
Current37x$220—
Expensive55x$329+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SN's PE is in its fair range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SN, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$289.16
Downside-21%$173.27

Calculated from the latest close: $220.14 on Nov 12.

SN trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

SN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $1.74Q3 2024: $2.55Q4 2024: $3.11Q1 2025: $3.16Q2 2025: $3.66Q3 2025: $4.05Q4 2025: $4.94Q1 2026: $4.96Q2 2026: $4.90Q3 2026: $5.96Forward: $7.26
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $1.74Q3 2024: $2.55Q4 2024: $3.11Q1 2025: $3.16Q2 2025: $3.66Q3 2025: $4.05Q4 2025: $4.94Q1 2026: $4.96Q2 2026: $4.90Q3 2026: $5.96Forward: $7.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.26+22%
Q3 2026$5.96+47%
Q2 2026$4.90+34%
Q1 2026$4.96+57%
Q4 2025$4.94+59%
Q3 2025$4.05+59%
Q2 2025$3.66+110%
Q1 2025$3.16+134%
Q4 2024$3.11+159%

SN has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over SN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+21%
Q2 2026$1.8B+22%
Q1 2026$1.4B+16%
Q4 2025$2.1B+18%
Q3 2025$1.6B+14%
Q2 2025$1.4B+16%
Q1 2025$1.2B+15%
Q4 2024$1.8B+30%

SN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2023: $2B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

SN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $131MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: −$94MQ3 2024: −$65MQ4 2024: $441MQ1 2025: −$92MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: −$190MQ2 2026: $383MQ3 2026: −$210M
Q4 2023: $131MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: −$94MQ3 2024: −$65MQ4 2024: $441MQ1 2025: −$92MQ2 2025: −$37MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: −$190MQ2 2026: $383MQ3 2026: −$210M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$209.7M-343%
Q2 2026$382.6M+$419.2M
Q1 2026-$190.2M-$98.5M
Q4 2025$523.3M+19%
Q3 2025$86.2M+$151.2M
Q2 2025-$36.5M+$57.5M
Q1 2025-$91.7M-639%
Q4 2024$441.4M+237%

SN has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

SN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 140MQ1 2024: 141MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 141MQ4 2024: 142MQ1 2025: 142MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 142MQ4 2025: 142MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 142MQ3 2026: 142M
Q4 2023: 140MQ1 2024: 141MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 141MQ4 2024: 142MQ1 2025: 142MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 142MQ4 2025: 142MQ1 2026: 142MQ2 2026: 142MQ3 2026: 142M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+14.5K shares
1 year-0.4%-598K shares
3 years+1.5%+2.1M shares

SN has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low

SN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI74.4Overbought
Stochastic91.2Overbought

SN's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 91 (overbought).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSNSector medianRelative
PE37x18x105% above
PE %523319 pts above

SN is trading at 37x earnings, a 105% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

SN has stronger trend alignment. LCID is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus SN above 4 of 4.

SN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$197.412% above
20 week MA$179.523% above
50 week MA$142.355% above
100 week MA$120.782% above

SN is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 82% above its 100-week average.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

SN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$26.9$51.2+90%
2024$51.2$97.3+90%
2025$97.3$114.0+17%
2026 YTD$114.0$220.1+93%

SN has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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