LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SLGN

Silgan Holdings Inc.

54
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

SLGN has a slight edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SLGN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Weak

SLGN's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SLGN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$40.71—
Cheap14x$34.15-16%
Fair16x$38.73-4.9%
Current16x$40.71—
Expensive18x$44.51+9.3%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SLGN's PE is in its fair range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SLGN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SLGN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SLGN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SLGN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$49.00
Downside-16%$34.17

Calculated from the latest close: $40.71 on Nov 12.

SLGN trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

SLGN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.98Q1 2024: $2.85Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $2.58Q1 2025: $2.69Q2 2025: $2.81Q3 2025: $2.94Q4 2025: $2.70Q1 2026: $2.67Q2 2026: $2.56Q3 2026: $2.49Forward: $4.03
Q4 2023: $2.98Q1 2024: $2.85Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $2.58Q1 2025: $2.69Q2 2025: $2.81Q3 2025: $2.94Q4 2025: $2.70Q1 2026: $2.67Q2 2026: $2.56Q3 2026: $2.49Forward: $4.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.03+62%
Q3 2026$2.49-15%
Q2 2026$2.56-8.9%
Q1 2026$2.67-0.7%
Q4 2025$2.70+4.7%
Q3 2025$2.94+6.5%
Q2 2025$2.81-1.4%
Q1 2025$2.69-5.6%
Q4 2024$2.58-13%

SLGN has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over SLGN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SLGN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+1.6%
Q2 2026$1.6B+6.8%
Q1 2026$1.6B+6.4%
Q4 2025$1.5B+4.1%
Q3 2025$2B+15%
Q2 2025$1.5B+11%
Q1 2025$1.5B+11%
Q4 2024$1.4B+5.3%

SLGN's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $2B last quarter, up 1.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

SLGN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: −$35MQ3 2024: $252MQ4 2024: $865MQ1 2025: −$766MQ2 2025: −$294MQ3 2025: $261MQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: −$882MQ2 2026: −$259MQ3 2026: $265M
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: −$35MQ3 2024: $252MQ4 2024: $865MQ1 2025: −$766MQ2 2025: −$294MQ3 2025: $261MQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: −$882MQ2 2026: −$259MQ3 2026: $265M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$264.7M+1.5%
Q2 2026-$258.5M+$35.7M
Q1 2026-$882M-$115.7M
Q4 2025$1.2B+41%
Q3 2025$260.8M+3.3%
Q2 2025-$294.2M-$258.9M
Q1 2025-$766.3M-$143.3M
Q4 2024$865M-16%

SLGN has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

SLGN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 107MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 107MQ3 2025: 107MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 106MQ3 2026: 106M
Q4 2023: 109MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 107MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 107MQ3 2025: 107MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 106MQ3 2026: 106M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+151K shares
1 year-0.8%-860K shares
3 years-2.6%-2.8M shares
5 years-4.7%-5.3M shares
Available history-5%-5.6M shares

SLGN has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SLGN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 5.4xQ2 2024: 5.5xQ3 2024: 5.3xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 6.6xQ2 2025: 7.0xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 6.2xQ3 2026: 5.9x
Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 5.4xQ2 2024: 5.5xQ3 2024: 5.3xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 6.6xQ2 2025: 7.0xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 6.2xQ3 2026: 5.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.9xHigh
Q2 20266.2xHigh
Q1 20265.8xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20256.3xHigh
Q2 20257.0xHigh
Q1 20256.6xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh

SLGN's net debt is about 5.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.3 years a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SLGN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.1Neutral
Stochastic64.4Neutral

SLGN's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SLGN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSLGNSector medianRelative
PE16x18x9.3% below
PE %624715 pts above

SLGN is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

SLGN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.26.6% above
20 week MA$40.80.2% below
50 week MA$41.31.5% below
100 week MA$45.410% below
200 week MA$46.512% below

SLGN has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

SLGN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.1$36.9+19%
2021$36.9$41.1+12%
2022$41.1$52.8+28%
2023$52.8$45.3-14%
2024$45.3$52.6+16%
2025$52.6$40.9-22%
2026 YTD$40.9$40.7-0.4%

SLGN has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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