LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over SKY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SKY

Champion Homes, Inc.

49
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

SKY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SKY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Strong

SKY's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SKY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x37x49x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x37x49x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$38.27-59%
Fair23x$77.11-16%
Current27x$92.29—
Expensive34x$115+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SKY's PE is in its fair range at 27x.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SKY Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SKY to show an outlook.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SKY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SKY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$114.18
Downside-31%$63.25

Calculated from the latest close: $92.29 on Nov 12.

SKY trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

SKY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.50Q1 2024: $2.53Q2 2024: $2.43Q3 2024: $2.58Q4 2024: $2.83Q1 2025: $3.42Q2 2025: $3.76Q3 2025: $3.85Q4 2025: $3.76Q1 2026: $3.66Q2 2026: $3.42Q3 2026: $3.36
Q4 2023: $3.50Q1 2024: $2.53Q2 2024: $2.43Q3 2024: $2.58Q4 2024: $2.83Q1 2025: $3.42Q2 2025: $3.76Q3 2025: $3.85Q4 2025: $3.76Q1 2026: $3.66Q2 2026: $3.42Q3 2026: $3.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$3.36-13%
Q2 2026$3.42-9%
Q1 2026$3.66+7%
Q4 2025$3.76+33%
Q3 2025$3.85+49%
Q2 2025$3.76+55%
Q1 2025$3.42+35%
Q4 2024$2.83-19%

SKY has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over SKY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SKY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $559MQ1 2024: $536MQ2 2024: $628MQ3 2024: $617MQ4 2024: $645MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $701MQ3 2025: $684MQ4 2025: $657MQ1 2026: $621MQ2 2026: $710MQ3 2026: $727M
Q4 2023: $559MQ1 2024: $536MQ2 2024: $628MQ3 2024: $617MQ4 2024: $645MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $701MQ3 2025: $684MQ4 2025: $657MQ1 2026: $621MQ2 2026: $710MQ3 2026: $727M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$727M+6.2%
Q2 2026$710.2M+1.3%
Q1 2026$621.3M+4.6%
Q4 2025$656.6M+1.8%
Q3 2025$684.4M+11%
Q2 2025$701.3M+12%
Q1 2025$593.9M+11%
Q4 2024$644.9M+15%

SKY's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $727M last quarter, up 6.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

SKY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $31M
Q4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $31M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$30.8M-54%
Q2 2026$62.6M-5.7%
Q1 2026$43.5M+30%
Q4 2025$92.9M+149%
Q3 2025$67M+46%
Q2 2025$66.4M-10%
Q1 2025$33.4M+$41.3M
Q4 2024$37.3M-48%

SKY has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

SKY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 55MQ3 2026: 54M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 55MQ3 2026: 54M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-680K shares
1 year-3.9%-2.2M shares
3 years-5.6%-3.2M shares
5 years-4.8%-2.7M shares
Available history-4.1%-2.3M shares

SKY has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SKY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -2.5xQ3 2024: -2.4xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.9xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -2.7xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -2.5xQ3 2024: -2.4xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.9xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -2.7xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash

SKY has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SKY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.3Neutral
Stochastic66.0Neutral

SKY's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SKY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSKYSector medianRelative
PE27x18x52% above
PE %634716 pts above

SKY is trading at 27x earnings, a 52% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

SKY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$85.18.5% above
20 week MA$85.87.6% above
50 week MA$83.710% above
100 week MA$82.312% above
200 week MA$78.518% above

SKY has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

SKY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.4$31.7+0.7%
2021$31.7$76.2+141%
2022$76.2$52.6-31%
2023$52.6$74.3+41%
2024$74.3$88.4+19%
2025$88.4$85.5-3.2%
2026 YTD$85.5$92.3+7.9%

SKY has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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