LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over SHOE overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

SHOE

Shoe Station Group Inc.

32
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation20/ 100
Upside potential33/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

SHOE's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SHOE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Strong

SHOE's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SHOE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.3x$5.57-61%
Fair9.2x$8.12-43%
Forward10x$14.20—
Expensive15x$13.27-6.5%
Current16x$14.20—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SHOE's PE is in its expensive range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SHOE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SHOE's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SHOE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SHOE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$17.40
Downside-46%$7.72

Calculated from the latest close: $14.20 on Nov 12.

SHOE trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

SHOE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $2.68Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $2.82Q4 2024: $2.72Q1 2025: $2.68Q2 2025: $2.39Q3 2025: $2.27Q4 2025: $2.10Q1 2026: $1.90Q2 2026: $1.35Q3 2026: $0.88Forward: $1.39
Q4 2023: $2.90Q1 2024: $2.68Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $2.82Q4 2024: $2.72Q1 2025: $2.68Q2 2025: $2.39Q3 2025: $2.27Q4 2025: $2.10Q1 2026: $1.90Q2 2026: $1.35Q3 2026: $0.88Forward: $1.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.39+58%
Q3 2026$0.88-61%
Q2 2026$1.35-44%
Q1 2026$1.90-29%
Q4 2025$2.10-23%
Q3 2025$2.27-20%
Q2 2025$2.39-12%
Q1 2025$2.680%
Q4 2024$2.72-6.2%

SHOE has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over SHOE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SHOE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $320MQ1 2024: $280MQ2 2024: $300MQ3 2024: $333MQ4 2024: $307MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $306MQ4 2025: $297MQ1 2026: $254MQ2 2026: $271MQ3 2026: $284M
Q4 2023: $320MQ1 2024: $280MQ2 2024: $300MQ3 2024: $333MQ4 2024: $307MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $306MQ4 2025: $297MQ1 2026: $254MQ2 2026: $271MQ3 2026: $284M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$284.3M-7.2%
Q2 2026$270.7M-2.5%
Q1 2026$254.1M-3.4%
Q4 2025$297.2M-3.2%
Q3 2025$306.4M-7.9%
Q2 2025$277.7M-7.5%
Q1 2025$262.9M-6.1%
Q4 2024$306.9M-4.1%

SHOE's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $284M last quarter, down 7.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

SHOE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: −$23MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $13MQ3 2026: $7M
Q4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: −$23MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $13MQ3 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.5M+197%
Q2 2026$12.6M+$35.6M
Q1 2026$27.7M-24%
Q4 2025$19.7M+138%
Q3 2025$2.2M-88%
Q2 2025-$23M-435%
Q1 2025$36.2M-11%
Q4 2024$8.3M-76%

SHOE has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

SHOE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-72K shares
1 year-0.5%-140K shares
3 years-0.3%-95K shares
5 years-4.7%-1.3M shares
Available history-6.2%-1.8M shares

SHOE has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SHOE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.8x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.4xQ3 2026: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.6xNet Cash

SHOE has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SHOE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic71.0Neutral

SHOE's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SHOE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSHOESector medianRelative
PE16x18x10% below
PE %854738 pts above

SHOE is trading at 16x earnings, a 10% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

SHOE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.73.6% above
20 week MA$14.20.1% below
50 week MA$16.614% below
100 week MA$19.226% below
200 week MA$24.742% below

SHOE has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

SHOE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.4$19.4+5.3%
2021$19.4$39.3+102%
2022$39.3$24.5-38%
2023$24.5$30.2+23%
2024$30.2$35.7+18%
2025$35.7$18.1-49%
2026 YTD$18.1$14.2-21%

SHOE has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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