LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SHAK

Shake Shack Inc.

71
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

SHAK has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SHAK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

SHAK's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SHAK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE639x1278x1917x2556x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE639x1278x1917x2556x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current71x$72.68—
Cheap75x$77.60+6.8%
Fair153x$158+117%
Expensive505x$520+616%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SHAK's PE is in its cheap range at 71x.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SHAK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SHAK to show an outlook.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails SHAK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SHAK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$106.16
Downside-23%$56.06

Calculated from the latest close: $72.68 on Nov 12.

SHAK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

SHAK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.57Q2 2024: $0.64Q3 2024: $0.19Q4 2024: $0.24Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $1.03Q4 2025: $1.09Q2 2026: $0.98Q3 2026: $0.94Q3 2026: $1.03
Q4 2023: $0.48Q1 2024: $0.57Q2 2024: $0.64Q3 2024: $0.19Q4 2024: $0.24Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.47Q3 2025: $1.03Q4 2025: $1.09Q2 2026: $0.98Q3 2026: $0.94Q3 2026: $1.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.030%
Q2 2026$0.94+100%
Q1 2026$0.98+238%
Q4 2025$1.09+354%
Q3 2025$1.03+442%
Q2 2025$0.47-27%
Q1 2025$0.29-49%
Q4 2024$0.24-50%

SHAK has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over SHAK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SHAK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $286MQ1 2024: $291MQ2 2024: $316MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $329MQ1 2025: $321MQ2 2025: $356MQ3 2025: $367MQ4 2025: $401MQ2 2026: $367MQ3 2026: $418MQ3 2026: $423M
Q4 2023: $286MQ1 2024: $291MQ2 2024: $316MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $329MQ1 2025: $321MQ2 2025: $356MQ3 2025: $367MQ4 2025: $401MQ2 2026: $367MQ3 2026: $418MQ3 2026: $423M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$423.3M+15%
Q2 2026$417.6M+17%
Q1 2026$366.7M+14%
Q4 2025$400.5M+22%
Q3 2025$367.4M+16%
Q2 2025$356.5M+13%
Q1 2025$320.9M+10%
Q4 2024$328.7M+15%

SHAK's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $423M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

SHAK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $4MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: −$736,000Q3 2026: $13M
Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $4MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: −$736,000Q3 2026: $13M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$13.1M-45%
Q2 2026-$736K-103%
Q1 2026-$38.7M-2170%
Q4 2025$4M-62%
Q3 2025$23.7M+237%
Q2 2025$26.9M+31%
Q1 2025$1.9M+$4.3M
Q4 2024$10.4M+23%

SHAK has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

SHAK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+44K shares
1 year+0.1%+36K shares
3 years-4.7%-2.1M shares
5 years+7.1%+2.8M shares
Available history+30%+9.7M shares

SHAK has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SHAK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

SHAK has more cash than debt.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SHAK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.1Neutral
Stochastic75.5Neutral

SHAK's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SHAK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSHAKSector medianRelative
PE71x18x292% above
PE %114736 pts below

SHAK is trading at 71x earnings, a 292% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

SHAK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.79% above
20 week MA$65.311% above
50 week MA$75.94.3% below
100 week MA$92.021% below
200 week MA$86.916% below

SHAK has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

SHAK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.5$87.8+45%
2021$87.8$74.5-15%
2022$74.5$44.9-40%
2023$44.9$74.1+65%
2024$74.1$132.6+79%
2025$132.6$83.8-37%
2026 YTD$83.8$72.7-13%

SHAK has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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