LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has a slight edge over SG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SG

Sweetgreen, Inc.

49
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SG offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SG's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x86x115x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x86x115x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$9.04-27%
Fair73x$10.88-12%
Current83x$12.38—
Expensive86x$12.94+4.5%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SG's PE is 83x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SG's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails SG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$20.60
Downside-40%$7.46

Calculated from the latest close: $12.38 on Nov 12.

SG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

SG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.01Q1 2024: $-0.94Q2 2024: $-0.83Q3 2024: $-0.79Q4 2024: $-0.79Q1 2025: $-0.77Q2 2025: $-0.84Q3 2025: $-0.97Q4 2025: $-1.14Q1 2026: $0.12Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $0.15
Q4 2023: $-1.01Q1 2024: $-0.94Q2 2024: $-0.83Q3 2024: $-0.79Q4 2024: $-0.79Q1 2025: $-0.77Q2 2025: $-0.84Q3 2025: $-0.97Q4 2025: $-1.14Q1 2026: $0.12Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.15+$1.12
Q2 2026$0.10+$0.94
Q1 2026$0.12+$0.89
Q4 2025-$1.14-$0.35
Q3 2025-$0.97-$0.18
Q2 2025-$0.84-$0.01
Q1 2025-$0.77+$0.17
Q4 2024-$0.79+$0.22

SG has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over SG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $153MQ1 2024: $158MQ2 2024: $185MQ3 2024: $173MQ4 2024: $161MQ1 2025: $166MQ2 2025: $186MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $162MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $176M
Q4 2023: $153MQ1 2024: $158MQ2 2024: $185MQ3 2024: $173MQ4 2024: $161MQ1 2025: $166MQ2 2025: $186MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $162MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $176M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$176M+2.1%
Q2 2026$192.7M+3.8%
Q1 2026$161.5M-2.9%
Q4 2025$155.2M-3.5%
Q3 2025$172.4M-0.6%
Q2 2025$185.6M+0.5%
Q1 2025$166.3M+5.4%
Q4 2024$160.9M+5.1%

SG's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $176M last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

SG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$156,000Q3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: −$21MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$37MQ4 2025: −$39MQ1 2026: −$30MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: −$22M
Q4 2023: −$6MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$156,000Q3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: −$21MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$37MQ4 2025: −$39MQ1 2026: −$30MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: −$22M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$22.1M+$15.1M
Q2 2026-$10.6M+$2.6M
Q1 2026-$29.6M+$302K
Q4 2025-$39M-$18.4M
Q3 2025-$37.2M-$26.9M
Q2 2025-$13.1M-$13M
Q1 2025-$29.9M-$19.9M
Q4 2024-$20.6M-$14.7M

SG has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

SG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 112MQ1 2024: 113MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 118MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 118MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 119MQ3 2026: 119M
Q4 2023: 112MQ1 2024: 113MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 118MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 118MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 119MQ3 2026: 119M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+212K shares
1 year+0.7%+828K shares
3 years+6.2%+6.9M shares
5 years+10%+10.9M shares
Available history+10%+10.9M shares

SG has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SG Net Leverage

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI72.3Overbought
Stochastic88.8Overbought

SG's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSGSector medianRelative
PE83x18x358% above
PE %785622 pts above

SG is trading at 83x earnings, a 358% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

SG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.320% above
20 week MA$8.2949% above
50 week MA$7.5065% above
100 week MA$12.21.7% above
200 week MA$15.721% below

SG has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

SG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$53.0$31.4-41%
2022$31.4$8.83-72%
2023$8.83$11.3+28%
2024$11.3$32.4+186%
2025$32.4$6.97-78%
2026 YTD$6.97$12.4+78%

SG has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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