LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SE

Sea Limited

69
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

SE has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Stable
Strong

SE's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE403x807x1210x1614x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE403x807x1210x1614x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current29x$74.52—
Cheap37x$95.38+28%
Fair93x$242+224%
Expensive688x$1,783+2293%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SE's PE is in its cheap range at 29x.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SE, but weaker profitability.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails SE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$110.15
Downside-19%$60.05

Calculated from the latest close: $74.52 on Nov 12.

SE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

SE Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.13Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $1.42Q2 2025: $1.97Q3 2025: $2.30Q4 2025: $2.54Q1 2026: $2.58Q2 2026: $2.59
Q3 2023: $1.13Q4 2023: $0.24Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $1.42Q2 2025: $1.97Q3 2025: $2.30Q4 2025: $2.54Q1 2026: $2.58Q2 2026: $2.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.59+31%
Q1 2026$2.58+82%
Q4 2025$2.54+239%
Q3 2025$2.30+1253%
Q2 2025$1.97+$2.32
Q1 2025$1.42+2740%
Q4 2024$0.75+213%
Q3 2024$0.17-85%

SE has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over SE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SE Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3.3BQ4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.3BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $7.1BQ2 2026: $7.8B
Q3 2023: $3.3BQ4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.3BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $6BQ4 2025: $6.9BQ1 2026: $7.1BQ2 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$7.8B+48%
Q1 2026$7.1B+47%
Q4 2025$6.9B+38%
Q3 2025$6B+38%
Q2 2025$5.3B+38%
Q1 2025$4.8B+30%
Q4 2024$5B+37%
Q3 2024$4.3B+31%

SE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $7.8B last quarter, up 48% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

SE Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $556MQ4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $440MQ2 2024: $552MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $932MQ1 2025: $757MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $919MQ2 2026: $1.1B
Q3 2023: $556MQ4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $440MQ2 2024: $552MQ3 2024: $1BQ4 2024: $932MQ1 2025: $757MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $919MQ2 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.1B-18%
Q1 2026$918.9M+21%
Q4 2025$0-100%
Q3 2025$1B+0.8%
Q2 2025$1.4B+153%
Q1 2025$756.9M+72%
Q4 2024$931.8M+252%
Q3 2024$1B+86%

SE has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

SE Total Shares

Q3 2023: 565MQ4 2023: 570MQ1 2024: 571MQ2 2024: 574MQ3 2024: 574MQ4 2024: 610MQ1 2025: 635MQ2 2025: 592MQ3 2025: 636MQ4 2025: 640MQ1 2026: 636MQ2 2026: 654M
Q3 2023: 565MQ4 2023: 570MQ1 2024: 571MQ2 2024: 574MQ3 2024: 574MQ4 2024: 610MQ1 2025: 635MQ2 2025: 592MQ3 2025: 636MQ4 2025: 640MQ1 2026: 636MQ2 2026: 654M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.9%+18.3M shares
1 year+11%+62.4M shares
3 years+9.3%+55.7M shares
5 years+25%+131M shares
Available history+41%+191M shares

SE has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SE Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.9xQ4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: 0.2x
Q3 2023: 0.9xQ4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.2xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.2xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy
Q3 20242.2xModerate

SE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from a year a year ago.

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.3Neutral
Stochastic5.6Oversold

SE's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSESector medianRelative
PE29x18x60% above
PE %14746 pts below

SE is trading at 29x earnings, a 60% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

SE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$85.413% below
20 week MA$100.025% below
50 week MA$100.926% below
100 week MA$123.840% below
200 week MA$94.221% below

SE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 21% below its 200-week average.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

SE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.3$193.2+392%
2021$193.2$222.1+15%
2022$222.1$49.9-78%
2023$49.9$40.5-19%
2024$40.5$108.7+168%
2025$108.7$127.9+18%
2026 YTD$127.9$74.5-42%

SE has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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